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Friday, May 3, 2013

Astro Technicals- Astro Tutorials 01

For several months, I had been wanting to start off the tutorials on Financial Astrology. But time pressure had never allowed me to do so.Many friends had been requesting personally to initiate such a series. They feel it will help them understand this complex subject a little better. And unless the basics are known, application of such basics to another complex universe such as trading will be difficult, if not impossible.
I propose to start off in a simple way. Though I begin on a weekday  I am more comfortable posting lessons only on Sundays and Holidays.
According to me, all sciences are divine. So there is nothing specially divine about Astrology. It is a true science where specific results may be obtained by following the same set of rules, over and over again.
Enough of the preamble.....
This is a typical South Indian Astro chart.There are 12 houses and each of the house is ruled by a planet. Some like Jupiter, Mars, Saturn, Venus and Mercury have two houses each, whereas the Sun and the Moon have only one house each.


In this chart, there are some more details.
First House is called Aries and we know it is ruled by Mars ( from the first chart.)
And the twelfth house is Pisces, ruled by Jupiter.
Several qualities of each of the signs is also mentioned in each of the boxes.
So if you take Aries, then we find this sign ruled by Mars, which itself is an angry planet,
is 
Fiery: Positive outgoing energy
Movable: Action oriented.If planets are placed here, during their ceaseless movement across all 12 houses throughout the year, we can expect several actions to be seen in the outer world. Actions are nothing but manifestation of thoughts from inside us or acts of nature.
Masculine:Male energy manifestations
Barren: Most often action will be initiated here but end result will be seen somewhere else.

Next lesson we will see more about the nature of each of these signs and we will also look into nature of the planets themselves.

Thank you.

Thursday, May 2, 2013

Astro Technicals for May 02, 2013

It is still unclear whether we are in a corrective Xwave to be followed by another abc or whether we are in wave B of the correction which had started from 6111.80.Since the present correction has moved beyond 61.8% chances are that we are in wave B.If so the present upmove may be marked as wave A of Wave B.If it is wave B, then we are going to go  higher but after consuming some more time.
Index ended with a long legged Doji on April 30, which since it is happening at a comparative top, can become a reversal signature, if there are follow up lower closes.Today the bias should be positive since RBI Policy Announcement is round the corner.
Next week should decide the future course of action for Nifty.

      
Volatility can be high, because intra day  up moves are getting weaker. At the same time we are not seeing a lower closing.
Trade safely.

Wednesday, May 1, 2013

Astro Technicals- Effect of Eclipses

We are in the season of Eclipses. We had a Penumbral Lunar Eclipse on April 25, 2013 and we are about to have an Annular Solar Eclipse on  09/10 th May 2013.
My personal take is that our understanding of Eclipses  vis a vis the market moves is a little sketchy. Either we expect the market to show an immediate reaction or we think that the reaction will come when planets transit the eclipse point later in the year.
I have done a small compilation of the Solar Eclipses for the period 2003-2013 and how Nifty had reacted pre and post the event. In some of the cases I have given some more details to aid our understanding:









So what do we infer?
1. Eclipses serve as interruptions to the ongoing trend in the market.
2. They may be witnesses for Nifty going up or coming down.In 11 out of 22 instances we saw the market going down and in 7 instances Nifty had improved.In 20% of the cases the effect was not of significance.
3. We see that if the market is in a powerful uptrend or downtrend, caused by aspects and signatures of long range slow moving planets, the eclipse effects were not very noticeable.In other words, reversal effects manifest better when we are in time periods where strong long range planetary forces  are not having any effect.
We have several engagement of fast moving planets such as Venus, Mars, Sun, Mercury with Saturn, but at the moment there aren`t any major aspects between the slow moving planets such as Jupiter,Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto.In the third week, we have Uranus square Pluto- I do not think this eclipse will show any effect of this manifestation.

So how are we placed for May 09/ 10?
Lunations on April 29/ 30 had produced declines which were intraday.We have the Latitude effect coming on May 03rd. Several of the aspects in the recent past and the ones happening right on ( I had covered this in the blog post captioned as Astro Technicals April 29 to May 16th) have a critical time zone of May 08- 13th. Dasa wise, we will be in Venus Antara- Mars Sookshma.
Astrologically chances of a decline in the week beginning with May 06 are brighter.
However, let us only trade once the market moves as per our expectations.    

Sunday, April 28, 2013

Astro Technicals- Technical Picture for April 29, 2013


Nifty has now recovered 445 points and has closed above 61.8% retracement level of the down move from 6111.80.If Nifty keeps moving up to 5964 or 5971 levels, we will maintain, the labelling as Wave B of a Flat correction from 6111.80.
On the other hand, if Nifty weakens from here and closes below 5817, then we would tentatively conclude that there is one more corrective leg in the offing and this retracement would be labelled as an x wave and we would expect another abc to unfold. The c of which could go below 5478 and that would conclude wave A, the first downleg from 6111.80. Wave B should then start from that point. In this second scenario, wave a may not correct dramatically downwards, but could float around- this is especially true because RBI`s Annual Policy is round the corner.
As the previous two blog posts suggest even astrologically there is only less room for up moves. So caution with longs is indicated. Strict stop losses and an un-anticipatory approach to the markets, is the need of the hour.

Astro Technicals- Dasa formation and their implications.

If we examine the Dasa-Bhukthi- Antara-Sookshma Vimshottari time divisions to Nifty, we have the following Dasa Periods coming up...
11-March to 09-April-2013:Rahu dasa-Venus Bhukti-Venus Antara-Venus Sookshma
09- April to 18 April 2013: Rahu dasa-Venus Bhukti-Venus Antara-Sun Sookshma
19- April to 06 May 2013: Rahu dasa-Venus Bhukti-Venus Antara-Moon Sookshma
07- May to 14 May 2013: Rahu dasa-Venus Bhukti-Venus Antara-Mars Sookshma
15- May to 11 June 2013: Rahu dasa-Venus Bhukti-Venus Antara-Rahu Sookshma
Let us examine how Nifty had behaved in all such Venus Antara periods in the past, from 2001..






What do we infer? In all such antara -sookshma periods in the past, Nifty either reversed in the Moon sookshma period or in Mars or in Rahu period. If there were bullish aspects prior to the Sookshma periods, then the intermediate reversals tend to happen farther away, in the Rahu sookshma periods. On the other hand, if the aspects were moderate, then intermediate reversals tend to happen either in Moon periods or in the Mars period.
If the aspects prior were negative, then the trend itself will be negative or mixed, going into the sookshma periods.
We are now in the Moon Sookshma period to be followed by Mars Sookshma period, upto May 14, 2013.
So we look for a reversal immediately in this week, followed by an improvement closer to weekend followed  by a bigger reversal in the week May 06 to 10, 2013.Since currently we are going through a series of negative aspects, post May 06/10, the decline could be a little more than anticipated.
It is quite fascinating to see planetary rhythms in Nifty movements, year after year.

Astro Technicals April 29 to May 16th 2013

We are entering another interesting time band, full of potent astro aspects between April 29 to May 31.Following the Lunar Eclipse of April 25, we have a Solar Eclipse on May 9/10, 2013.From May 04th onwards, Pluto and Uranus begin to get within one degree of yet another square and they will be exactly square on May 20/21. Once again we shall start hearing shrill noises about debts and bank/ economy failures, austerity, unemployment,lack of global growth, deflation and what not.With Uranus, the planet for surprise outcomes being involved, it is difficult to say what sort of outcomes will happen.
Here are all the dates:
 Uranus square Pluto June 24 2012
Uranus square Pluto September 19 2012
Uranus square Pluto May 21 2013
Uranus square Pluto November 1 2013
Uranus square Pluto April 21 2014
Uranus square Pluto December 15 2014
Uranus square Pluto March 17 2015
These are typically Mainstream signatures of long term import. During their first two passages, we saw main world economies facing troubles and now we have a deflationary cycle in the commodities going on. We also saw the Equity markets rise in 2012, without much retail participation.By August 07, Jupiter will be opposing Pluto and by August 21, it will square Uranus. That should be a time to watch.We may expect major debacles involving banks across the globe.
Coming back to the times we live in,here are the aspects table  upto middle of May 2013:

Day
Aspect
Effect on…
April 29          (Monday)
Sun opposition Saturn
Venus opposition to Rahu
Venus conjunct Ketu
Mars opposition to Saturn
1. Prices have been rising into the aspect of Venus- Saturn opposition which began on April 21. So negative moves may be visible on April 29 and or 30.
2. Though not having strong correlation, Venus-Pluto trine tends to set the market on to its dominant trend direction within 5 trading days. That points out to April 29. Question is, is the dominant trend downwards?
3. Venus opposing Rahu- Could have an immediate reversal and then a counter move followed by a bigger reversal by May 15th.
April 30         (Tuesday)
Sun opposition Saturn
Venus opposition to Rahu
Venus conjunct Ketu
Mars opposition to Saturn
Sun trine Pluto

May 02         (Thursday)
Sun trine Pluto
Mars opposition Saturn

May 03         (Friday)
Sun trine Pluto but separating
Mars opposition Saturn

May 04 (Saturday)
Mars begins to trine Pluto
Pluto and Uranus come within one degree of waxing square and they will be exact on May 20 2013
Venus moves to Taurus

May 05 (Sunday)
Mercury opposite Saturn
Mars trine Pluto

May 06          (Monday)
Sun opposes Rahu, conjuncts Ketu
Mercury opposite Saturn
Mars trine Pluto but separating

May 08         (Wednesday)

Since the market was rising into April 30, expect a crest formation by May 08th.
May 09       (Thursday)
Solar Eclipse day
Sun-Mars conjunction began on April 23. Time band for crest formation ends on May 09th.
May 13                (Monday)

Sun opposition Saturn begins on April 29. Crest effect should manifest before May 13th. Same effect for Mars opposition Saturn. Crest effects may manifest anytime between May 07th to May 13th.Sometimes double top formations also occur.
May 13th is also the minimum date for Sun trine Pluto to show some effect. Most probably crest formation, but if declines happen, then the trough would be a significant one. Since other signatures point to a crest, probably this one also ought to support a crest formation.
We notice there are two bands of dates which stand out.April 29/ 30 and the time band between May 08 to 13th.So the simple conclusion would be that we have a slight disruption in the current upmove by April 29 and 30 and then resumption of the upmove, hesitantly till May 08 to 13.Post May 13th, we could see some negative market movements.
What do the lunations say?
I have marked the lunar aspects as well as the dasa antara and sookshma periods on to the Nifty chart itself for easier comprehension.
So by April 29, we have Moon perigee, Saturn at an extreme distance and Moon at minimum declination, all occurring together. Reading  it with the aspect effect from  the tabulation above, we may expect some reversal for April 29 and 30. Will it continue upto May 03? I do not know. All I know is that we have another lunar effect, Moon at maximum Latitude, happening on May 03rd. That also happens to be the day when RBI is going to announce its Annual Monetary Policy for 2013-14.So May 02 may see a hesistant continuity of rise  to May 03  and post May 03, we may see some correction. Since the time band of May 08 to May 13, coincides with some good lunation as shown in  going.the chart above, including a lunar eclipse, the downtrend may accelerate post May 08th, all the way to May 15th.
All of these are mere postulations and need to be confirmed with price movement. Personally, while I will be alert on the days discussed here, I will still wait for these blue and red moving averages along with the RSI to tell me where Nifty is really going.
Happy week of safe trading!

Friday, April 26, 2013

Astro Technicals April 25 2013

Whew! What a breathtaking recovery from the depths of 5478! As we had been postulating for quite some time, Wave A  of the correction from 6111.80, had ended at 5478 and wave B had begun.


ab and c waves in the daily chart which constitute wave A of the corrective  bigger wave B has evolved as an elongated zig zag and has clocked 422 points so far.5972 is an important resistance area and from thereabouts we expect wave B of B to commence downwards. Since wave A down from 6111.80 has consumed 52 trading days, this wave B also may consume similar time if not more.On the other hand since a new time cycle is forming the wave may also shorten. We need to get confirmation for this.
Astro wise we have rallied right into the full moon which also happens to be a lunar eclipse.And April 29 also happens to be a planetary reversal period as reported in the post called as Astro Technicals April 22-26.It is time to be cautious on longs. All we have to do is to have a tight trail with a 20 point stop loss for longs. Once Nifty closes below 5850, then fresh shorts may be taken, on rises.

Have a great week end trading!    

Sunday, April 21, 2013

Astro Technicals Wave Counts


Nifty Astro Technicals April 22 to 26, 2013

Astrologically we are entering a volatile two weeks beginning April 22 and ending May 03, 2013.
Some of the key aspects in this period are:

Date
Day
Astro Event
Lunar Events
Planetary Declinations
Dasa Position
Apr 22
Mon
Transiting Venus squares Natal Neptune on April 20.              Venus (Aries) opposes Saturn (Libra) at 12:55 pm IST.Crest by April 29
First Quarter deviation. Moon in Leo, moving from Venus star Jupiter sub to Venus star Mercury sub.

Nifty is in Venus Antara Moon Sookshma till May 06, 2013
Apr 23
Tue

First Quarter deviation. Moon in Virgo, moving from Sun star Saturn Sub to Venus sub.

Apr 24
Wed
Sun sextile Neptune. Venus trine Pluto.Points to a reversal by April 29.
First Quarter deviation. Moon in Virgo, moving from Moon star Mercury Sub to Venus sub.

Apr 25
Thu

First Quarter deviation. Moon in Libra, moving from Mars star Ketu sub to Moon sub.

Apr 26
Fri
Transiting Sun squares Natal Neptune.
Full Moon and Lunar Eclipse, with Sun in Aries (Ketu star) and Moon in Libra (Rahu star), moving from Venus sub to Saturn sub.                        Degree: 11:48:44 in Aries. Moon conjunct Saturn at 05:46 am.

Apr 29
Mon
On April 28, Sunday, at 10:20:40 am, Mars will transit 11:48:44 degree, the Lunar Eclipse point. Effect on April 29, 2013.         True Nodes become direct. Venus conjunct Rahu-Ketu. Mercury enters Aries.
On April 28, Sunday, at 13:44:19 hrs, Sun opposes Saturn. Transiting Mercury squares Natal Ketu
On April 28, 2013, Moon is at Perigee at 01.18 am. Effect on April 29, 2013.Moon in Sagittarius, Ketu star moving from Venus sub to Mars saub.
Saturn is in extreme declination on April 28. Moon is at its minimum declination on April 29.
Apr 30
Tue



May 02
Thu
On May 01, Sun trines Pluto. Mars opposes Saturn at 10.15 am on May 01, 2013.Transiting Venus squares Natal Ketu.


May 03
Fri

Moon is at maximum Latitude

May 06
Mon
Venus moves to Taurus on May 05.Mercury opposes Saturn at 16:29:13 hrs


May 07
Tue
Sun conjuncts Ketu, opposes Rahu.


Venus Antara Mars Sookshma till May 14 2013
May 08
Wed
Mercury conjuncts Mars in Aries


May 09
Thu



May 10
Fri
Mercury conjuncts Ketu. Mars, Ketu, Mercury, Moon and Sun are all between 20 degrees and 26 degrees of Aries. All five celestial bodies are in the constellation ruled by Venus. At 05:59 am on May 10, Sun Moon conjuncts at 25:34:25 degrees for the New Moon. This is also a Solar Eclipse Day.

Mercury in extreme declination

Long positions need to be trailed tightly.Any rise from here may be used to take profits. Nifty is expected to show some corrections by the week end. Post April 29th, the upward correction may resume.From May 03rd, decline may resume.
So a roller coaster ride seems to be on the cards.


If we consider the decline from 6111.80, then 5800 represents 50% corrective stage. ( An important Gann percentage.) If we consider the decline from a more recent 5990, then 5795 represents 61.80% of retracement.
So while there could an attempt to move towards 5875, caution must be exercised for a decline, before 5875 is attempted.
For the medium and long term,remember we are in wave B? Also Jupiter is still in Taurus, till May 31? So the uptrend from 4531 is still intact and may continue.
Astro signatures however point out to treacherous two way movements, which is what volatility is all about.
So stop losses and an un-anticipatory approach is the order of the day.

Happy trading!

Wednesday, April 17, 2013

Nifty Astro Technicals for April 18, 2013

After Venus, Sun and Mars have entered Aries, the sign of action, they are getting involved in the first astro aspect tomorrow. Sun and Mars are becoming conjunct in the star of Aswini, ruled by  Ketu. By nature all the stars involved are incendiary by nature. So is the sign Aries.


Last time we had a Sun Mars conjunction in Aries was on May 13, 1998.It formed a forceful part of a downmove which had ended soon after.
Look at the astro chart for April 18, 2013.

  Apart from Sun and Mars, on April 19, Uranus conjuncts Mercury in Saturn star and are both in unfavourable 6/8 positions to retrograde Saturn.
By April 20, Moon will be at its minimum Latitude, which serves most often as a reversal sign.
Reading everything together, can we cautiously surmise that the present corrective uptrend will have a pause?

Let us look at the astro chart of April 22, 2013..


Oops! We have another problem here. Venus begins to oppose Saturn.This will soon be followed by Sun, Mars and then Mercury- all engaging the wily, old Saturn.Furthermore Moon is in Venus star. Not a combination for an uptrend is it?

And on April 23?


We find Venus moving in a translation point between Saturn and Pluto.Sun and Neptune form a sextile. Moon is moving in Sun star, in a First Quarter deviation.This should be a reverse to positive kind of day.

Here are the price charts...


Corrective uptrend has paused.....


Support levels are indicated here--5644,5617 and 5589.


 Nifty has overshot her 5 period EMAs. It pays to be cautious here.
With planetary aspects looking shaky, it is prudent to play with stop losses. Moreover    there are several dynamics in play. If the market changes direction abruptly, be sure to follow the market rather than wait or trade in anticipation.

Safe and serene trading!