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Monday, July 2, 2012

Nifty Astro Technicals-July 02 to 06, 2012

Wow! What a break out we had last Friday!Nifty moved out of an ascending triangle trading pattern on higher volumes, to begin the next leg upwards.We have been expecting an upward break out-see the links of posts, given below:

 

http://niftyastrotechnicals.blogspot.in/2012/06/nifty-technical-picture-one-june-18.html

 http://niftyastrotechnicals.blogspot.in/2012/06/nifty-correlations-with-lunar.html

We had one more observation made on June 17, 2012, in the blog post given below.

 http://niftyastrotechnicals.blogspot.in/2012/06/coming-uranus-pluto-waxing-square-june.html

",,,Interestingly Saturn is becoming direct in Libra, exactly one day after Uranus-Pluto Square-on June 25,2012.Time band for this effect is 2 to 7 trading days: June 27th to July 04th, 2012.Typically it may be a reversal from a market top.
Venus is becoming direct on June 28, 2012.Manifestation time band is 4 to 11 days.Fourth day happens to be  coinciding day with Saturn effect day-July 4th. Even though Saturn direct leads to troughs and recovery from troughs,markets have reversed from tops as well.Could that be because of Venus occultation?
Also Venus is in Gemini and so duality may be experienced. Which means there is a chance that the markets may reverse yet again upwards on July 13, 2012.
So a roller coaster ride seem to be on the cards in the next two weeks..." 

 
Saturn became direct on June 25 and Venus on June 28, 2012. Both these powerful signatures have left a mark on the markets, which we saw on Friday, the world over.

What next?
Let us first look at the wave counts:
 

The next leg of the impulsive C seems to have commenced. My immediate bias  for resistance,  is the area between 5319 to 5375.

In fact, there are several resistances over head and the current move from 4770, in the hourly charts looks like a rising wedge.
 

Looking at the weekly cycles, the current uptrend marks the beginning of a new cycle. Nifty cycles last between 11 to 18 weeks.With just 4 weeks into the uptrend, some more climbing up is left. The problem is the planetary headwinds.. ..
 
 
 
 And here are the astro factors....

03 July 18:15 Sayana Mars moves into Libra
02 July: Moon in Sagittarius: Sun in Cancer: Venus in Gemini: Mercury in Leo
03 & 04July: Moon in Capricorn:: Sun in Cancer: Venus in Gemini: Mercury in Leo
05 & 06 July Moon in Aquarius; Sun in Cancer: Venus in Gemini: Mercury in Leo

Lunar Movements are indicating increased volatility and reversals once Moon moves into Pisces and beyond, which is the subject matter of next week.
25 June 2012 13.29.57: Transiting Saturn comes one degree and four minutes of becoming trine with Natal Sun and 52 minutes of a trine with Natal Venus. Simultaneously, transiting Saturn comes within one degree and 53 minutes of forming a trine with Natal Uranus. In all three cases, Saturn by moving away is reducing the bullish formation, but very slowly.
25 June 2012 13.26 hrs: Jupiter square Neptune .Orb is 8 trading days which is within July 05 2012. The current break out of the trading range is well connected to this aspect. Bullish.
27 June 2012 20.36.36: Transiting Venus becomes direct and comes to 1 deg 3 min of a trine with Natal Neptune. Bullish.
29 June 2012 20.31 hrs: Sun opposite Pluto. Sun Square Uranus. (Both applying).Again orb is of 8 trading days. Within June 11th. This aspect may have effect closer to the third quarter Moon of July 11th. It is a sign of reversal depending on the preceding direction of the market. Bearish after July 11, 2012.
29 June 2012 21.07 hrs: Jupiter trine Mercury. Short term Bullish.
29 June 2012 23.15.40 hrs Heliocentric Moon conjunct Pluto. Short term Bullish.
30 June 2012 14.40 hrs: Mercury trine Rahu. Mercury Sextile Ketu. Bullish.
02 July 2012 02.01.13 Heliocentric Mars sextile Pluto. Bullish.
02 July 2012 18.10.54 Heliocentric Venus trines Jupiter. Bullish.
.02 July 10.26 hrs Transiting Mercury opposite Natal Neptune. Bearish. Issues regarding crude and its effect on our Economy.
03 July 2012 05.40 hrs: Jupiter conjunct Ketu. Opposite Rahu. Very Bullish. Especially since Ketu is a big benefic for Nifty.
03 July 2012 18.56 hrs Mars moves into Libra, a cardinal sign. Action energy picks up. Everything Mars does will get exaggerated.
03 July 2012 09.46.19 Heliocentric Saturn squares Venus. Bearish.
04 July 2012 18.56 hrs Venus trine Mercury. Mildly bullish.
05 July 2012 08.05 a.m. Venus trine Uranus. Very bullish. With an orb of six trading days, crest formation are seen most often. Another aspect which tells us that the time band of July 11 to 13 points to a good reversal.
05 July 2012 07.18 hrs. Moon trine Mars. Mildly bullish.
06 July 2012 02.01.54 hrs: Heliocentric Mercury moves into Sagittarius. Gold will start seeing big moves. Will this be a sign of reversal in the commodity space?
06 July 2012 14.21.23 hrs: Heliocentric Mercury square Neptune. Another head ache for oil traders. Too much of confusing news flow will exaggerate movements in oil trade.
By 6 July, 2012, progressively the bullish formation is reducing steam, when we consider the Natal and transit positional play between the planets of Nifty. However no significant negative aspects are developing.
07 July 2012 19.17.34 hrs Heliocentric Venus sextile Uranus. Augurs well for bulls.
08 July 2012 02.41.01 hrs: Heliocentric Mercury trine Uranus. Bullish.
08 July 2012 12.28.20 hrs; Heliocentric Mercury sextile Venus. Same effect as on July 05.See a good upward movement but be aware that a counter move  is round the corner.
09 July 23.46 hrs: Transiting Mercury trine Natal Pluto till 24 July 2012.This is a big bear. Takes time to develop.
10 July 2012 09.14 hrs: Moon square Pluto.
10 July 2012 10.17 hrs: Moon conjunct Uranus.
10 July 2012 05.36 hrs Moon sextile Jupiter.
By June 10, bull moves become less volatile.
Our bias is the markets could move up higher with minor corrections, but turn cautious by next week, especially after third quarter moon on July 11, 2012.
 
 Have a wonderful week!

As usual check with your advisers before taking any positions based on opinions here.
 

Wednesday, June 27, 2012

Strictly Nifty June 27, 2012


We have been looking at planetary transits as they apply to the whole world as such. But most of us trade the Indian markets only and so specific planetary aspects for Nifty alone, will be of interest. While most of the time the Indian markets correlate and are in sync with the global markets, there are several instances when they are out of step also. For example in the beginning of the week, when the world markets sold off quite heavily, Nifty did not go down as much.While the US Markets scaled great heights and hit all time highs in  March- May 2012,Nifty, in the same time period,. did not cross the top made in 2011.
See charts below:
Which means the specific factors governing movements of specific markets have to be looked into. Since our interest is astrological correlation, let us see how to look at specific planetary factors for our own Nifty.
I have taken  the planetary positions of Nifty futures chart ( Nifty`s first trade chart or Horoscope, if you will) and have compared with the present day planetary positions, to know whether we can learn anything about the immediate market directions.
Comparisons are between Nifty natal positions and Nifty planetary positions as of June 27, 2012, 09..15 am, Mumbai coordinates. The comparison looks interesting, to say the least!
Aspects shown in black are bullish and all of them are weakening.
Transit Mars is applying to Natal Mars in a square formation.It is expected to be exact at 10.38 am tomorrow ( June 28, 2012.)
Transit Saturn is in a negative 150 degree formation with Natal Saturn. By August first week, this formation could turn into a powerful opposition.
With all the other information given in recent posts about June 27-30 periods, let us be cautious.
Before signing off, here are a couple of technical charts....



As usual, these are only indicative. It simply adds to caution or conviction depending on what kind of position we are holding.My take is always to wait for price action to confirm whatever we expect and only then act.
Have a wonderful day!

















Sunday, June 24, 2012

Nifty -Correlations with Lunar Declinations- June 2012

In Financial Astrology, Moon plays a very important part, as a translator and a releaser of planetary energies. In other words, the planetary aspects, whether good or bad, will actually translate into events and actions through the agencies of Nature, including human minds, only when Moon connects with the planets in some way.
This apart there are several other aspects of the Moon which have an echo in the financial markets. Echos which diligent traders can profit from, if followed sincerely.
One of them is lunar declinations and the effect on markets.Just as latitudes and longitudes help us pin point a place on the surface of the earth,planetary declinations help us pinpoint the positions of planets on the celestial sphere. The term equator here means celestial equator.While all planets have declinations, of particular importance to short term traders is the declinations of the moon.
For the records, Summer Solstice actually means that the Sun has reached its maximum northern declination point at the Tropic of Cancer and is now reversing direction and is moving towards the Tropic of Capricorn.
 See what happened during the recent Moon declinations in June 2012:

 Chart courtesy:cafeastrology.com

The directions of the lunar declinations do not represent the market directions. Every inflection point like reaching the Northern most point, crossing the celestial equator, from North to South, reaching the Southern most point and reversing direction- all give suggestions of market reversals.Hence my expectation of a mini reversal on Monday, June 25, is an upward move and a big reversal by the month end, June 27 to 29, is a down move.

Declinations may not be singularly relied upon. When two or more lunar events happen together, then we may anticipate a market turn.Of course, subject to technical confirmation!



Another lunar event which is worth watching is the change in direction of the true nodes of the moon, what we call as Rahu and Ketu. Rahu is North Node and Ketu is South Node.


June 27, Wednesday is when the nodes turn direction again and become direct.Since now we have two lunar events happening on the same day, it pays to be watchful.
We recently had a New Moon on June 19, 2012. So when is the First Quarter Moon?
June 27, Wednesday!
Hmmm..Interesting!
On Wednesday, at 13.11 hrs, Moon will square Pluto and at 13.23 hrs, she will oppose Uranus. Since it is a First Quarter Moon day, Sun also is connected and so we have an angular  planetary connect. Sun in Gemini, Moon in Virgo, Pluto in Sagittarius and Uranus in Pisces.In Navamsa, Ketu is conjunct with Moon, in Aries.
Saturn becomes direct on Monday at 13.17 hours and Venus becomes direct on Wednesday, June 27th. These two powerful stations have their orbs extending up to July 04th as mentioned in earlier posts.From 04th of July, Moon will start transiting in Aquarius, Pisces and Aries. Now with Sun in Cancer, Mercury in Leo, and Venus in Gemini ( all Sayana positions),we could have potential reversals.
Since Venus is in Vargottama both in Rasi as well as Navamsa and since Moon is in Pooram star, ruled by Venus, on Monday, the markets may be positive after a minor hiccup in the opening.Jupiter squaring Neptune is bad news for Crude and so good news for India.Unfortunately Venus is in qc with Pluto who is never letting go of the Rupee. In fact with the Nodes also squaring Neptune, oil is boiling. But then these square combos including.the latest one involving Jupiter is sapping away confidence, hope and energy from the markets.
June 27 and 28 seem to be critical days. Any which way, I still feel that the market has some more up steam left. But with major planets changing stance, trend changes also are to be expected, but after the bull move.
5300 seems to be a reasonable cap..
As the hourly chart says, even if the Nifty boat capsizes to 4930, it should still be considered as part of a bigger move.Breaking 4930, all bets are off. 

Of course we still have time for Uranus Pluto and the direct stations of Saturn and Venus.
Have a great week of trading.




Friday, June 22, 2012

Interplay between Natal and transiting planets in Nifty and Dow, June 22, 2012

It is fascinating to see the developing interplay when transiting planets make aspects with the natal planets in the natal charts of stock exchanges.How one looks positive and the other negative, for a brief period... 





















And the cyclical position of Nifty on a weekly basis:



Why did the Dow and co take a dive?










Sunday, June 17, 2012

Nifty Technical Picture One June 18, 2012

Astro is one indicator. But what do the technicals say about Nifty`s movements post June 18, 2012?
Here are two Elliott wave alternatives.

This is a comparatively bullish scenario.
Look at this:
Either way, we have one bull move ahead.

Coming Uranus Pluto Waxing Square June 24, 2012

Now that the all important waxing square of Uranus -Pluto is so near, on June 24, 2012, let us look at what happened in the stock markets last time such a square formation occurred.We had a similar formation during 1931 to 34, when the US Economy went through Great Depression.Only difference was that it was a Waning Square. That is  in 1931, Uranus was in Aries. Pluto was in Cancer. ( Saturn was in Capricorn-All three are in cardinal signs.)Uranus kept on moving towards Pluto and finally on October 09, 1965,they become conjunct in 17 degree Virgo.A waning square generally leads to complete change of ways of the world.It happens through massive destruction..We all know from history what the world went through in those tumultuous years, including the Second World War and the Atom Bomb.
Now Uranus in Aries is moving away from Pluto in Capricorn.( Saturn is in Libra, again all three are in  cardinal signs.) and by 16th August 2047 they will once again be in opposition, with Pluto in Pisces,Uranus in Virgo and Saturn in Sagittarius.
Here is the 1931-32 chart of Dow Jones:( coutesy-www.technicalanalysisbook.com)
On June 12, 1931, Uranus and Pluto came within one degree of their square formation.Dow formed an intermediate low at 119.81 and recovered 30.82% to 156.74.Time taken was three to four weeks.By the time Uranus and Pluto became exactly square, Dow was in a sustained downtrend and formed an ultimate low between the first square of April 20, 1932 and second square of September 02, 1932.
How was the waxing square between these two slow moving power houses in the past? There is only one instance in the past of a waxing square between Uranus and Pluto.This was in 1876-1877.This was an extremely stressful period for USA, Europe and rest of the world.  Railroads and Banks had collapsed and the World was in what is now referred as Long Depression.The Kondratieff  cycle of 54 years also had a trough here. 

 Let us fast forward to June 2012:


 Uranus and Pluto came to within one degree, on June 04th.Markets tumbled to a low on that exact date.Since then Nifty is on a recovery mode.The first Square formation date is on June 24, 2012.And the next square date is September 19 2012.Another remarkable fact is the speed in which both these planets are coming together.While in 1931, Uranus and Pluto coming into one degree of a square and then becoming exactly exact, took nearly a year. Now it is in just 20 days! ( June 04th to 24th). So there could be significant and fast paced actions in the coming weeks and months.
Interestingly Saturn is becoming direct in Libra, exactly one day after Uranus-Pluto Square-on June 25,2012.Time band for this effect is 2 to 7 trading days: June 27th to July 04th, 2012.Typically it may be a reversal from a market top.
Venus is becoming direct on June 28, 2012.Manifestation time band is 4 to 11 days.Fourth day happens to be  coinciding day with Saturn effect day-July 4th. Even though Saturn direct leads to troughs and recovery from troughs,markets have reversed from tops as well.Could that be because of Venus occultation?
Also Venus is in Gemini and so duality may be experienced. Which means there is a chance that the markets may reverse yet again upwards on July 13, 2012.
So a roller coaster ride seem to be on the cards in the next two weeks  










Nifty Astro Technicals June 18 to 22, 2012


Look at the red arrows:It is interesting to see the correlation between New Moons and recent Nifty peaks.Only on May 18th did Nifty form a trough. Rest all were crests.Between the New Moon and the immediate First Quarter Moon, we always had a reversal.It is interesting to note that June 19th is the next New Moon...
Coming to the black arrows.The down arrow formed on May 17th was Retrograde Venus forming a trine with retrograde Saturn.We had expected an orb of 12 trading days for a low formation.
Precisely on June 04, 2012, Nifty formed a significant low.
The slant up arrow is of May 16, 2012: Mars trine Pluto.A secondary top forms within 7 trading days. This expectation was covered in my May 21-25 post.
See my post of May 21 captioned: "Some interesting Gann Angles:" Two turning dates were pointed out. One was June 05th.Nifty formed a significant low on June 04th.(4770.35)The next turning date is June 18, 2012.June 19th is a New Moon.On June 18th, Moon is at a maximum declination and will turn southwards. June 21, is also the Summer Solstice.
Now, on June 13th we had a powerful Sun trine retrograde Saturn. The maximum orb of this aspect is 11 trading days, that is June 27..June 27 is also  the first quarter Moon after New Moon.Saturn is becoming direct on June 26th. This is another powerful crest formation signature.
So it looks like the markets will go up first on Monday, then reverse back during the next two days to 5000 levels and then pole vault to 5350 range by June 26, 2012, after which the down trend may resume in full earnest.

Sunday, June 3, 2012

Nifty June 04 to 08, 2012, a KP Astro view




Ruling planets for the week beginning June 04 to 08 are Saturn and Moon. Now, Saturn and Moon are significators of eighth, seventh, fifth and third houses of this weekly chart. Moon begins the week by moving through Anusham, a Saturn star.
On June 4th itself, Moon moves into Kettai star, ruled by Mercury. Now Mercury signifies 12th house. So we may expect a negative movement in the later half of the trading day.
On June 05th, 2012, Moon moves in Moolam star, ruled by Ketu. Ketu is in Rohini, a star ruled by Moon. Since Ketu is a node, it will act as if it is the Moon itself. Since Moon rules the eighth house this week, we cannot expect too much of positivity on Tuesday either.
On   June 06th, Wednesday, Moon will be in Pooradam,a star ruled by Venus. Now Venus   also is  in Rohini, ruled by Moon! So the negative bias may continue. One critical difference is that Venus is conjunct Sun, so a positive effect may nullify the negativity.
On June 07th, 2012, Moon is in Uthradam. Unfortunately Sun is also in Rohini and so Moon`s effect may dominate. Negativity doesn`t truly go away, despite Sun being positioned in the 11th house.
On June 08th, Moon moves into   Thiruvonam, a star ruled by Moon herself. Thiruvonam happens to be in Capricorn, a house ruled by Saturn. Saturn on this day is in Mars star of Chitthirai, in the sub of Saturn himself. Both Saturn and Mars are malefic and up to no good.
From 09.15 am on Monday, June 04th to 15.30 hrs on Friday, June 08th, the  ascendant moves in the stars of Saturn, Mercury, Ketu, Venus, Sun, Moon and Mars. None of these stars are particularly positive, this week.,
Does seem like a week meant for bears isn`t it?
However, let us wait for price confirmation at every stage, before we take positions. Please consult your advisors before acting on such information.  

.  

Nifty June 04 to 08, 2012

Global markets all shook last week. We have been expecting this for some time now. A rare square of Uranus Pluto has begun. Since there are going to be 7 occasions where these two planets are going to square each other, it appears there will be no respite till March 17,2015. Ingress of Saturn into Scorpio in October 2012,will place it in a mutual reception situation with Pluto. That is Pluto will be in Capricorn, a house of Saturn and Saturn will be in Scorpio, which belongs to Pluto.This will add great strength to both these tough planets. Uranus, known for causing revolutions and upheavels, will just add an uncertain and sudden change angle to the whole situation.
Of course there will always be periods of respite and bounce backs but the writing on the wall is inevitable. Change in a massive way, is upon us.The sooner we adjust, the better.
And thereafter there will be no place to hide, for those large bankers and hedge funds and for their Governments who had always turned a blind eye for all the " rules breaking for profits" which these entities had been engaged in,,for so long. 

As for India, it will be a price to pay for all the sloth in policy making and for creating a great breeding ground for bigger and bigger scams.Pluto sits in the eigth house of India`s chart.I had mentioned a couple of weeks back about bears coming out of hibernation...Well they truly have..

June 04 to June 08, 2012
(Based on Sayana Positions of Planets)

Date
Planetary Aspects
Effects
Lunar effects
Short Term
Long term
June 04 2012-Monday
Moon begins the week in Sagittarius-a house of extreme movements. It also reaches its maximum southern declination. Sun, Venus and Mercury continue to be in Gemini till June 07th.By 16.41 Moon will be exactly opposite the Sun, which is Lunar Eclipse. Since this eclipse follows the Annular Solar Eclipse of May 20, 2012, it will translate the negative effects of that first eclipse.
Mercury trines Saturn.
Retrograde Venus will square Mars from today onwards.
Moon comes out of a conjunction with Rahu and a trine with Uranus. Both do not look positive.
Neptune becomes standstill as a preclude for Retrograde motion. Negative effects will continue for crude. Neptune stands for dreamlike optimism and its retrograde will bring in pessimism.
Uranus-Pluto square-will be exact on June 24, Sunday at 14:38:49 Hrs.
Neptune squares Rahu and Ketu. Will be exact by August 05, 2012.
On June 05, Venus will make a rare occultation with the Sun                  (eclipse).This again is a development with very negative consequences for the economies, for the medium term. This will lead to severe shake outs in several markets, over time.
As mentioned last week, Nifty trend was with a decidedly downward bias. The dark effects of Uranus Pluto square have started to work rather earnestly. Sun in Gemini and Moon in Sagi combo has not caused any reversal in the past. So I do not expect a New Moon reversal.  If at all the market opens positively due to Mercury Saturn effect, it is only another opportunity for selling on rises. The downtrend is expected to continue today. The waning square of Venus to Mars should cause a trough within 7 trading days.
(June 12).
June 05 2012-Tuesday
Moon starts moving up from its extreme southern declination.  
Within the first 30 minutes, Ascendant passes through the 45 * midpoint (121*) of Venus Mars square.
.
Moon and Mercury are moving to an opposition to each other.

Sun is moving towards a conjunction with Venus on Wednesday.
Uranus-Pluto square
Neptune squares Rahu and Ketu. Will be exact by August 05, 2012
Shorts created on Monday or last week may be covered depending on the technical situation. This is because Sun Venus conjunction could slow down the selling, lead to short covering and provide another opportunity for shorting again, later in the week, possibly on Wednesday..  
June 06 2012-Wednesday
Moon is in Capricorn.
Moon conjuncts Pluto and leads to a release of heavy negative energy again of the Uranus Pluto square aspect.
Moon trines Mars.
Uranus-Pluto square
Neptune squares Rahu and Ketu. Will be exact by August 05, 2012
Decline may continue although slightly slower. May see ups and downs.
June 07 2012-Thursday
.Moon is in Capricorn. Mercury is about to move into Cancer.
Moon is square Saturn when the market opens. Thereafter Mercury is some 30 degrees away Jupiter trines Moon, Major aspects are absent today.
Uranus-Pluto square
Neptune squares Rahu and Ketu. Will be exact by August 05, 2012
Expect to begin lower and then subsequently improve. May provide a bounce back reaction to the fall.
June 08, 2012-Friday
Moon moves into Aquarius and Mercury moves into Cancer. Early next week it will come opposite Pluto and expect all hell to break lose then.
Sun opposes Mars
Uranus-Pluto square
Neptune squares Rahu and Ketu. Will be exact by August 05, 2012
Sun Mars opposition also gives a correlation to a low of intermediate cycles, within 7 trading days. Overall it will be a negative week but significant lows such as 4758 may not be breached. Staying short or selling on every rise is the mantra. Next week looks more ominous and within the next two weeks or month end, December low of 4531 looks in terrible danger of being breached.