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Tuesday, May 14, 2013

USD INR flashes ominous signals....



USD looks to breach the 2-4 line, upwards. This is a strong bull signal for USD. If so the next pit stop is going to be 57.
That is not going to go well with the Equity markets.... 

Sunday, May 12, 2013

Long Term Planetary Signatures May to September 2013

Starting from May 20, 2013 to September 2013, we have a series of important planetary configurations all involving slow moving planets, which are credited with setting long term effects in motion.

First of all we are in the middle of the significant Uranus Pluto 7 series signatures- the mid period has been shaded for better illustration.
As an answer to the excesses and rampant misuse of public funds by large Institutions and Banks, up to the first three signature   periods, Central Banks have chosen to print money by the truck loads and buoy up the market sentiments. The thinking is if you flood the market with enough liquidity  some of it will stick and bring back the growth which is badly needed.  
With  long term signatures the effects start manifesting in the middle periods. And from May 20, we will be into the middle period for Uranus Pluto signatures.By September 20, Pluto becomes direct in Pooradam star, ruled by Venus. Venus stands for currencies and Pluto is for massive debts.By the time a greatly fortified Saturn because of its exaltation and also because of the presence of Rahu nearby will be aspecting Pluto by its third aspect. Now secrets of big bankers and deceptions in the financial world will start becoming exposed.By December 17, Uranus also becomes direct and we should have a far clearer picture of the murky goings on in the financial spaces of the globe.
Jupiter entering Gemini generally is a trend changer. With Uranus square Pluto nearby, this portends changes in long term trends.
Saturn turning direct could be bullish for some markets like Nifty for instance. A grand trine involving Jupiter, Neptune and Saturn will spell much hope and optimism and spark the market to bigger highs.
However the month of August looks ominous with Jupiter getting involved with Uranus and Pluto.
By September 16, we have Rahu conjunct Saturn in Rahu star-quite a combination!  And it is happening in Nifty`s fourth house, the house of Nadir or low point.
Iam not suggesting anything here but just that there could be heavy volatility in the months ahead and it should be pretty interesting times for traders to make pots of money!
Just have to figure  out the trend directions well in time! 

Astro Technicals The wave picture for May 13 to 31 2013


On May 11, 2013, Nifty had fully retraced the fall from 6111.80 to 5477.20.While the fall had consumed 49 trading days, from January 29, 2013 to April 10, 2013, the retracement had been pretty quick- in just 20 days.
·       As per Neowave  if the correction from 6111.80 has to be a flat, then it has to form a 3-3-5 structure. Wave A down, from 6111.80 has exhibited a 3 wave down formation.
·       So by the same logic, what we are seeing in wave B so far, in the retracement from 5477 upwards is just wave a of B.
·       We do not yet know if wave a of B is completed. But the risk reward ratio is tilting towards shorts, after 20 days of up move. Traders also realise this, which is reflecting in the reduced volumes.
·       We still have to see wave b of B downwards and Wave c of B upwards.
·       And this has to take time to complete- approximately a minimum of 30 more trading days.
·       Any which way we look at the situation, we are seeing a Wave B which is going to be stronger than wave A.
·       If the completed wave B terminates between 6112 and 6262, then also the consequent wave C has a good chance to go down to 5477 levels in a 5 wave impulse down.
·       If the completed wave B exceeds 6336-6354, then wave C down, will not go beyond  5796. In that case we will be looking at an Irregular flat with C wave failure, which will be very bullish for the next development.
·       If wave B terminates at these levels itself, that is wave b of B retraces to 5750 levels and then again wave c of B comes up to 6111 and then falls off, we can see the resultant wave C going beyond 5477 in a 5 way down move.  


Our immediate requirement is to know when a of B will end? Astrologically we are still in the reversal time band- so let us wait and watch. Personally I prefer to wait for price to close below the little blue and red averages, before taking a short. It will be prudent for longs to book partial profit and trail the rest positions with a tight stop loss.

Happy and safe trading!

Saturday, May 11, 2013

Astro Technicals for May 13 to 17 2013

Fuelled by Global buoyancy which manifested as FII buying, Nifty continued its climb towards a crest known only to her!
Our astro time band expected for a reversal is May 08 to 15, so next week is to be watched keenly.Since the weekly closing is in a strong mode, we simply continue to hold on to our trailing stop losses, watching for signs of a lower high- lower low formation and a break of 6046 on a closing basis.
Iam reproducing the chart with the lunar notations and dasa periods. We had, in the post,    http://niftyastrotechnicals.blogspot.in/2013/04/astro-technicals-dasa-formation-and.html

expected that Nifty may reverse in the Mars sookshma period, failing which it will happen in the Rahu sookshma period.Mars sookshma  is upto May 15 and Rahu sookshma then takes over till June 17th.
Since other aspro aspects are getting bunched up for effects between May 08 to 15, next week assumes added significance.


As per Gann and Fibo,Gann line violation could happen around 6046-if Nifty closes below it. All plausible retracement levels have been indicated here.


Here is a collection of steep rises in Nifty, in the past few years.All instances in the past were trend changers.
Happy and safe trading !

Friday, May 10, 2013

Flattered to deceive

Nifty has been playing hide and seek- always seeming to break down and then recovering in the last hours of trade.Again she has closed in the negative- not a violent closure but sort of dipping, wanting to take on more traders on board.
We are now in the astro time band for a reversal.
Will it be a reasonably good slide or will it be only intraday corrections?
Everything now depends on the follow through price action in Nifty.

Thursday, May 9, 2013

Nifty Astro Technicals May 08, 2013

Nifty has so far retraced 95.5% of the fall from 6111.80 to 5477.20.The trendline connecting 6338.50 and 6111.80 is currently at 6088.66 and today Nifty made a high of 6083.50.Timewise this upward retracement has taken 33% of the time taken by wave A.
Technically what could happen from now on?

 Let us examine the daily charts from a medium term perspective.
A Flat Correction pattern exhibits a 3-3-5 pattern, where 3,3 and 5 are sub waves.
Wave A exhibits a 3 wave correction.
For Nifty to play out the current moves as a Flat, Wave B also must have 3 waves.
Currently we are in Wave a of Wave B. Assuming wave B is of 3 sub waves, we note that the very first wave a of B,has already retraced wave A by 95.5% that too in just 17 days, tells us that wave B has bright chances of going over 100% of wave A by the time wave c of wave B will be over.
As per Neowave rules,
1. Normal B  wave should retrace wave A by 81 to 100%.( Wave B has so far retraced Wave A by 95.5%). In other words, if Nifty reverses from here, then we can reasonably expect a normal B wave is unfolding.
2.In such cases, wave b of B should not retrace beyond 5719 ( 61.8%) and wave c of B will mostly be equal to wave a of B. ( the current upmove)
3. In such a scenario wave c of B is likely to retrace all of wave b of B, which means if wave b of B falls to the vicinity of 5719, then wave c of B will take it back to 6100 levels.If Nifty is forming a common Flat,then Wave c of B could also go up to 138.2% of wave b of C, which is around the region of 6245-6275.
4. Since wave B normally consumes more time  than wave A ( down move from 6111.80) and since it has consumed only 17 trading days,waves b of B and c of B may consume 32 more days to complete their Wave B formation.
So we wait for Nifty to give us clear signals regarding the direction. At present we trail our stops tighter and tighter.And wait for a reversal to book profits on the longs.
 

Wednesday, May 8, 2013

MCX Gold -Astro Technicals May 08, 2013


Gold to descend to the 140 to 161.80% range -22500 to 23500 to complete the fourth wave and then could embark on the final fifth.I think a multi year bear market awaits gold after that. Wave 5 could consume the rest of 2013 possibly.
Astrologically, Venus and Sun  are getting to a conjunction with Jupiter as the charts below show. All that matches with the time band expected of the Gold Neo Waves as well.
 As usual let us wait for the Gold charts to show us the way- No anticipations please!

Tuesday, May 7, 2013

Tired channel breakout?


30 min chart is consolidating at the channel lower line at the top.It is very close to the Gann angle lines, which had served to reverse directions earlier.Only a decisive break down or break out can give indications of a tradeable option.Otherwise it is advantage intraday.

Astro Tutorials 02

In this post, we will examine more about the signs and the planets as well.  Look at the chart again. First house is marked as Aries and it is ruled by Mars. Last house is Pisces and ruled by Jupiter.This order of the zodiac is called a Natural Zodiac.This zodiac is actually a 360 division of the sky and the divisions are represented as angles 30 60 90 etc upto 360. Note that the 360 degree and degree 0 are the same.
Planets move through the zodiac from house to house in a clockwork direction.Is this the full list?
No there are some more.
Uranus
Neptune
Pluto
Rahu
Ketu
Uranus, Neptune and Pluto are very slow moving planets with their orbits beyond Saturn.
There are two points of intersection when the Sun's path and the Moon`s path intersects.They are called Rahu and Ketu.Rahu is called as the North Node or ascending Node and Ketu is called as South Node or descending Node as well. Remember Rahu and Ketu always move counter clockwise.Amazingly every culture of the world have recognized Rahu and Ketu in various names or forms. Rahu is also known as Dragon Head and Ketus is called as Dragon Tail.These two mathematical points are very important and significant as we shall understand later.I am deliberately  keeping the descriptions simple because we are primarily only looking at astrology applications to financial markets.

Regarding directions of movement, Sun and Moon will always move clockwise, sometimes fast, sometimes slow, but they will never move in counterclockwise fashion. Clockwise movement is called Direct Motion and Counterclockwise movement is called Retrograde motion.
Retrograde motion is only an apparent motion when we see planets from the Earth.Planets actually are not moving backward, they only appear so.As we will see later, retrograde motions also have astrological significance.
All other planets, Mercury, Venus, Mars, Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto will go through Retrograde motions.Actually they will slow down, then will become stationary,then move back slowly, then move back faster, then slow down, become stationary again and then begin direct motion again.
Rahu and Ketu as said earlier will naturally move in a retrograde fashion.
Another thing, Rahu and Ketu will always be 180* apart, no matter where they are in the zodiac.

There are certain points in the zodiac where a particular planet is very powerful and there are opposite points in the zodiac where they are weak or debilitated.

Please remember to commit these basic fundas to memory. We will be referring them again and again. Since there is a lot of new data, we will take them little by little.

So it is bye for now!

Sunday, May 5, 2013

Jupiter in Taurus- A comparison

Every 12 years, Jupiter makes a visit to the earthy sign Taurus and spends a year there. This time  also Jupiter entered Taurus on May 17, 2012 and will leave by May 30, 2013.
Let us take a look at how was the market effect during the previous uptrend when Jupiter was in Taurus. So we look at a comparison between June 20 1988- July 04, 1989 and the present times.We have omitted 2000-2001 period because that was a downtrend.Jupiter tends to maintain whatever trend he picks up when he enters Taurus.
We see amazing similarities isn`t it? Even the angles of progress of Nifty across time bands, seems to match.Jupiter retro and direct stations seem to have a reversal effect most often.Last time after topping out post Jupiter leaving Taurus, Sensex went on to make a bottom on February 08, 1990-8 months,after Jupiter left Taurus in July 1989.
It is interesting to see that as per NeoWAVE, the current wave E is slated to bottom out in January or February 2014, 8 to 9 months from now!