Nifty Astro Technicals March 09 to 13, 2015

After taking positive cues from the budget markets moved up for two days, March 02 and 03.A surprise rate cut announcement by RBI pushed Nifty to an all-time high of 9119 and thereafter a severe profit booking session pulled Nifty down to close at 8923 points, on March 04. A sedate recovery saw Nifty end the week at 8938.

Overall for the week, Nifty moved up from 8845 to 8938 and formed a Northern Doji. This is a neutral candle stick pattern with price likely to move in both directions.

There are several inter market divergences. US moved down, whereas Dax soared in a strong uptrend. FTSE moved lower. Nikkei moved up for the week, whereas Hang Seng crashed heavily. So we see the markets are tossed and turned around with no clear world trend seen.

With absence of cues here, let us look at our Astro Indicators.

We see we are right in the middle of a geocosmic storm with several planetary energies at cross purposes to one another.

As mentioned last week, we are in the middle of Uranus Jupiter trine effect of which ends on March 17 2015.

Saturn is about to turn retrograde on March 14^th (market effect on March 16^th).This is a significant cosmic event.

The final Uranus Pluto square is on March 17^th.This is another significant cosmic event with tremendous change potential affecting all of the world.

All the above are slow moving long term planets.

In between we have the fast moving planets engaging these slow guys causing additional turmoil.

From February 22 onwards,

Venus and Mars one after the other have trined Saturn. Sun will do so on March 25^th. But that will be to a retrograde Saturn.

Venus and Mars have both formed conjunctions to Ketu and opposition to Rahu.

Sun will do so on March 30, 2015. In between Moon will join Sun and both will oppose Rahu. This is what we call Solar Eclipse and will happen on March 20, 2015.

On March 04, Venus was trine with Jupiter

On March 10^th, Mars will trine Jupiter.

Sun will trine Jupiter on April 2^nd.

On March 05, Venus was conjunct Uranus and square Pluto

On March 11,Mars will be conjunct Uranus and square Pluto

On April 06 Sun will square Pluto and on April 07^th, Sun will conjunct Uranus.

In a nutshell, slow moving planets are in aspects to one another. Fast moving planets are also engaging the slow moving planets, in conjunctions, trines, and squares.

Now, let us decipher the market action with respect to these aspects.

1.     Uranus Pluto squares

We see that the market moves up towards the Uranus Pluto square. Only time it peaked earlier than the exact date, was in December 2014. That is possibly because Jupiter turned retrograde on December 08, 2014, at least a week earlier to Uranus Pluto square date. This time we have Saturn turning retrograde two days before the exact date of Uranus Pluto square date.So overall we may expect this positivity to stay till March 16^th.

2.     Saturn Retrograde 

Saturn retrograde is a time when all actions done during the Saturn direct cycle is brought up for close examination and Karmic judgments passed. Saturn has karakatwa for Karma. He is the Great Disciplinarian and the Judge. Entire QE program will come up for Judgment. So will the past actions of our Government, with respect to the Budget and other reforms. Retrograde beginnings have mostly been trend changers.

Looking at Saturn retrograde stations in Scorpio, on last two occasions, in 1986 and in 1956, we see that Saturn retrograde, acts a a reversal point for the trend in force till that point of time.So possibly the trend would reverse downwards, after Saturn retrograde starts, on March 14, 2015.  

3.     Uranus Jupiter waxing trines

This is another important aspect which tends to form crests whenever it connects in multiple passages. This means that another crest formation is due from this aspect possibly close to March 12-16, 2015.

Here I have not shown the third passage of Uranus Jupiter trine which takes place from June 08, 2015 to July 04, 2015, with exact trine on June 22, 2015.In the first passage we see the market rising to a crest and then going down from September 23 to October 17th.In the second passage also the market has risen to a crest so far..Normally it would have to go down, but there are larger positive aspects down the line, such as Uranus Pluto square on March 17th, so will the market make another attempt to a high again? This is the expectation we have as of today.

Let us look at something else also...

Mars and Venus are in Pisces and forming several aspects among themselves and with other planets. Venus is exalted in 27 degree of Pisces in Revathi star.On Monday, March 09th she will be in 26 degrees and only on March 10, will she reach 27 degrees. Trend changes generally when Venus moves out of Pisces. Usually she cause a downfall in Pisces and markets recover when she moves to Aries. But the situation is reverse when she is retrograde or when larger planets take over the trend as is the case now. Moreover Mars moves to Revathi from Monday and Mercury is in Mars star as well. In other words there is parivarthana between Mars and Mercury.Such a Mars is in trine with Jupiter.  So it looks like some more uptrend is pending before things turn down decisively.

To sum up, as per Astro, this week may be neutral to positive, but very definitely storm clouds are gathering by the weekend.

Looking at the cycles,

  

  Nifty continues to move up towards the cycle top of March 12/ 13. There could be heavy volatility this week with huge intra day opportunities. 

From Neo wave perspective, there are two possibilities. 

1. Wave c of c is a diametric, with wave e over at 9119 and currently forming wave f. If so there is one more upleg pending as wave g. That should conclude wave c and it will also conclude abc after 2nd x.

2. Second possibility:Wave c of c is forming an extracting triangle, with currently d leg on. Again one more upleg as e leg is pending.

Of course, if Nifty weakens heavily from here, then we have to conclude that wave c has already topped at 9119 and the downleg has begun already. This seems to be a remote possibility as of now.

Personally my take is to avoid fresh buying. Continue with the existing longs with tight stoplosses and look at the market afresh after March 16/17th.

Best of luck to your trading!

Nifty Astro Technicals March 02 to 06, 2015

Quite an eventful week came to an end. What with the budgets and the settlement all coming together, it was a roller coaster ride indeed!
But it looks as if the volatility has only just begun..There are several astro formations which indicate a period of disquiet has just begun.
First let us look at a larger picture of the wave counts...

   What looks like an interesting possibility right now is that the huge triangle formed as a correction from 2008 top and which ended on August 28, 2013, could itself by a large A leg. The complex correction which had begun since then and which is in its final leg right now, could be the first leg  of a larger B Wave.If so then the correction which began in 2008 Jan could end only in 2020!
Ok. That is too far out and so let us come back to the present scenario. Our wave counts say that the current upleg is either wave g or wave c of c and it could go on to form all time highs.
Faster reversal of the last upleg and break of the bdf line should serve as a notice that the trend has reversed.
A look at the cycles..

    We had expected a volatile yet positive week and that  is what happened.Current wave c has achieved time equality with wave a..we now look for price equality.
Meanwhile the smaller blue cycle has bottomed out. Now both cycles have a positive bias, till March 12/13.
We expect the current uptrend to continue.
Now, a look at the astro formations...

 Some 14 different aspects are jam packed into the period from February 12 to March 31.Three major aspects stand out. Uranus Jupiter trine of March 03,Saturn retrograde on March 16th and final square of Uranus Pluto combination on March 17th.All markets could see reversals. Equities look to blow up higher and face a severe reversal in the second half of the month. The only saving grace is that Pisces and its occupants, Ketu, Uranus, Venus and Mars are getting a trinal benefic aspect from Jupiter.So issues may be ultimately resolved, but there could be turmoil before the relief.
Net effect, Neowave and the cycles indicate a positive upmove but astro formation are advising caution in the second half of this March 2015 month.
Be careful with your positions. Roller coaster is not over yet.

Nifty Dasa Analysis February 24, 2015

This article attempts to understand how Nifty futures and by extension Nifty behaves during the current dasa period. Nifty is undergoing Rahu dasa-Venus sub period-Jupiter sub sub period -Mercury sub sub sub period. This last period is from February 18 to March 08, 2015.
Jupiter sub sub period is from 3rd January 2015 to 29 May 2015. We know from 3rd January till today ( February 24, 2015) Nifty has moved from 8364 to 8997 and is now at 8762.Throughout this period Jupiter had been retrograde. He will become Direct only on April 08, 2015. He will continue to be in Aslesha, ruled by Mercury till July 14th,2015, when he will ingress into Leo.
How have the Rahu Venus Jupiter dasa periods been in the past?
How will  the current period of Feb 18 to March 08 be?
What can we expect till May 29th, 2015?
Let us attempt to find some answers to these questions. Of course it is an educative attempt and is limited and defined only by my lack of knowledge. I request seniors and learned astrologers to pardon me for any wrong projections!
We look at Nov24 to Dec 16 time period of 2003.During that Rahu-Rahu-Venus-Jupiter period, we saw a sustained uptrend.It was the beginning of a permanent re-rating of our stock markets. FIIs had just discovered India...

As mentioned in the chart. all concerned planets strongly signified 11th house and Nifty zoomed!

The Main dasa lord Rahu had become very powerful at this time by his association with an exalted Saturn.Venus in Libra, is as comfortable as a housewife in her own home! She is friends with Saturn and when Rahu conjuncts Saturn, she also is an extension of Saturn.Jupiter was placed in Punarvasu, his own star...Result?  Beginnings of  another major move....

Upto May 09th, Venus moves through Pisces, Aries Taurus and 7 degrees of Gemini. All these are good houses for Nifty.But Rahu in the third house in Moon star is not auspiciously placed. Jupiter in Mercury star also is not good, but being in his exaltation house, he may be expected to bestow better results.
Summing up: We expect some positive moves with volatility till the budget, a fall immediately after the budget, and then some good pick up in March possibly upto 16th March and then a fall.
A new strong uptrend could begin in second week of April and last upto end of May.
Friends, I reiterate.
You need not know the future to be a successful trader.
Just identify and follow the trend. That is all.
All these analytical exercises are simply to educate ourselves in a fun sort of way and an attempt to satisfy the undying spirit of curiosity in each of us, which of course is the very hallmark of the human race!
Thank you for your patience!

TCS- Astro Technical view

TCS seems to have begun its 4th wave on its long term charts. Since wave 2 was a simple correction, wave 4 can be a complex correction involving x waves.It will also consume time. We may look at enter at 1800 levels once it comes down from current highs.

Nifty Astro Technicals February 23 to 28, 2015

During the forthcoming week, from February 23 to 28 eot, Moon moves through the stars of Aswini, ruled by Ketu  to Thiruvathira, ruled by Rahu.That is through the 10th, 11th and 12th houses of Nifty Futures.In transit, Saturn from the 5th house strongly trines with Venus, Mars and Ketu in the 9th.
Throughout the entire period of week, the Nodes reverse and go direct.When they become normal again, markets may reverse.
Here are the aspects of the week:

February 22 Venus and Mars are conjunct in Pisces

February 23 Sun Saturn square

February 24 Saturn trines Venus

February 26 Saturn trines Mars

February 26 Sun Neptune conjunction

February 27 Neptune is at extreme distance

February 27 Moon reaches its maximum declination

I had discussed about " Effect dates" of aspects in the past. Effect dates of all these important celestial aspects are slated to become effective not this week, but from March 1st week onwards.

It is important to note that the ascendant starts travelling in Aries from March 03 onwards.  

So astrologically, Nifty looks to move up, but with heavy volatility and countermoves.Daily gains maybe incremental but there maybe hugh intra day moves. In other words, despite so much hype about budget, we had not yet witnessed a strong rally.The market seems to be a bit circumspect, despite global cues becoming positive.

It is time we looked at our cycle charts..

 We see the red cycle of 108 days slowing down as we approach February 28.The smaller blue cycle is already turning down.This is one more reason for heightened volatility.Interestingly after the budget there is a suggestion of a strong upmove and a topping out.

Neo waves wise, we are in wave e of the forming diametric or alternatively, we are in wave c of c wave which had begun 24 trading days ago, when Guv Rajan announced a surprise rate cut.

If 8997 gets taken out on good volumes, we may see an extended c wave.Or else, 9082 or 9140 should form a first resistance level from which Nifty could react down.

 Hourly angles suggest that the congestion going on for a few days could be over and we may see an upmove. Feb 25 and March 05 seem to be important turn periods intra day wise.

When we closely analyse wave c of c, we see that the present leg is an impulse, with wave 4 forming a diamond shaped diametric. So wave 5 upwards is pending.Another 200 odd levels, budget or no budget.
Finally a look at long term weekly charts...

Weekly cycles suggest that there is more time correction to be done, for a top of 9800+ to be reached.So possibly we are moving towards an intermediate top in March?

Trade carefully, because the budget week is also the settlement week. Enough and more reasons for volatility.

Venus and Elder

Venus Remedies is showing a low angle of Ascent. It seems to have completed one xabc format. This means there is a possibility for another xabc formation.

Ind Swift Laboratories

Ind Swift Laboratories seems to have bottomed out at 22 and technically the prolonged correction from 2004 seems to have come to an end.The stock is beginning a new cycle as of now.
What does Astro say?
The stock is currently undergoing Rahu period with Jupiter sub period.
Rahu is in the second house but in Moon star. Moon is a 12th house lord for this stock. So unless Rahu moves to Sun star, we may not see much traction.Also Jupiter must come out of the retrograde period. Rahu comes to Sun star on July 13, 2015.And Jupiter becomes direct on April 09th. So post April 09th, Ind Swift may start a steady uptrend.After June 2015, Ind Swift enters the Saturn sub period. As long as Saturn is retrograde, this uptrend or sideways trend may continue. Once Saturn becomes direct on August 03rd, things could turn difficult and only when Saturn enters Mercury star on December 29, 2015, shall the uptrend resume once again.

 

Mars in Pisces along with Venus

Mars moves through Jupiter, Saturn and Mercury stars in Pisces.Pisces  is the ninth house for Nifty futures and Mars is a malefic both naturally and functionally.While Venus, a natural benefic, is in her exaltation in Pisces. So how has Nifty fared in the past? Let us take a trip down memory lane to a few years...

In 2013, when Mars entered Pisces, shown in yellow highlight, there was a reversal of down trend and formation of a short term peak. When Venus joined Mars, Nifty resumed the down trend in a more pronounced manner.

We see the same trend in 2011. Nifty moves up from a sideways trend, forms a short term peak and then when Venus joins Mars, Nifty reacts down more pronouncedly.

Here is a complete reversal! Mars enters Pisces when Venus is already there, but in a retrograde fashion.So while Mars goes through Pisces at his pace, Venus retrogrades there and leaves Pisces only after Mars leaves. When retrograde Venus conjuncts with Mars in Pisces, we see a huge inversion- market shoots up consistently. Added catalyst is the presence of Uranus!  

Both in 2007 and in 2002 ( added as just a flavour of a more distant past), Nifty forms a top,forms a low and then reverses to a higher high. This tells us that it is the presence of Venus in direct motion,  in its exalted sign, which actually pulls the market down and causes a lower low.  

Now, I admit this exercise is too simplistic. We must consider the effects of other planets also to get a more complete picture.

So fast forward to 2015...

Let us also look at the total astro chart for some more information...

What strikes us is the total benevolent long term influences amongst these many occupants of Pisces.Jupiter forming trine with Venus, Mars and Uranus.Also Uranus and Pluto squaring for the last time in our lives.Sure, Venus will pull the market down, conjunctions of Venus with Ketu and Mars with Ketu also may pull the market down, yet because of the positive influences of the long term planets, Nifty may recover.

In other words, Nifty should move up slowly, with great volatility, brought about by Mars, Venus and Ketu conjunction.

But things definitely will come to a head in March where the positivity may give way to a move towards the mean, what is called as mean reversion.So trade cautiously.Capital protection is always the first concern.

Crude Oil Outlook 2015

Crude seems to be in the final leg of wave c. It is expected to bottom out 9 months from now, in November 2015.Green shade represents the upmove period from 2000 to 2008 and the purple shade depicts the time period of correction from 2008 to the present period. We see that the corrective period equals the uptrend period, more or less.Since corrections take longer than up-moves, we expect the bottom for Crude to be sometime in November or early December 2015. 80 to 90 is a severe resistance zone- so right now crude is for trading and not for investing.
This also means that the current uptrend is only corrective and crude should resume its downtrend after this upmove. That ought to be c of c and may bring crude`s downward trajectory to an end.

Nifty Astro Technicals Feb 16 to 20, 2015

On February 13, 2015, Mars has moved into Pisces. Here it will move through Jupiter, Saturn and Mercury stars.

We see that Mars in Pisces will form a peak and then a down trend starts in most cases.

On February 16, 2015, Venus ingresses into Pisces as well. Venus in Pisces also corresponds to a peak formation and a down trend later on.

February 19, 2015, 05.17.08 am. We have a New Moon in Aquarius. This New Moon triggers the mid-point of Uranus Pluto square. At 12.57 hours, the same day, Moon will be the closest to the Earth. This could increase the intensity of the New Moon. New Moon is in Mars star, and Mars is in Pisces in the star of Saturn. So we may expect more news of reforms, some of them radical. Since Saturn and Mars are involved will it be a little bitter?

Also Rahu is in the mid-point of Jupiter Saturn formation. So there is confusion in the minds of powers that be as to the next course of action. While Jupiter wants to give, Saturn does not want to. And Rahu acts exactly like Saturn. So any economic news may be taken only with a pinch of salt.

Anyway Sun is also in the midpoint of Uranus Pluto square. So it is something to do with Governments. My take is it will lead to more global bullishness.

On February 22, 2015, Mars and Venus are conjunct. Market tends to move up in the short term, after the conjunction.

On February 23, 2015, Sun squares Saturn and that generally corresponds to a peak within 3 to 4 days and a jerky fall immediately.

So the current uptrend looks to continue till the weekend or at best till early next week after which a short term pull back can occur.

Be on the watch out on February 19/20 also for any sudden pull back caused by the New Moon.

Next week and into March first week we have several important aspects coming up. My take is that volatility should increase from here on, notwithstanding the budget.

Still expect volatility spikes. . so be careful with your trades.

Let Lord Shiva guide you all the way from this Maha Shivaratri!