Nifty Astro Technicals July 21 to 25, 2014

For the long term we see that the 13 month cycle is quite important for Nifty and so the 13^th month will be September 2014. 

Since time cycles expand and contract, we give an orb of +_2 months. We are approaching a crest of significant proportions in the next two months.

Of course, we continue to believe that the very long term trend is quite bullish.

However the weekly picture looks a little wobbly. It appears that Nifty wants to relieve some of its overbought pressure

The daily picture is quite different…

There seems  to be that some more upside can be expected here…

Let us look at the wave counts….

Nifty had technically surpassed and closed beyond 7660, at 7664.This marks the 61.8% retracement for the fall from 7809 to 7422.So the odds that Nifty is forming a flat from the top of 7809 is higher now. Price, movements on Monday should confirm the picture. If so, f wave of the diametric is just on. It had completed one leg “a” at 7422 and currently it is “b”. This b wave could retrace anywhere between 61.8 to 80% where it will be a weak b wave. If it retrace 101 to 123.6% it will be a normal b wave and anything beyond that it will be strong b wave. We expect b wave to behave normally and later on go back to the base or beyond, as wave c of f, from where wave” a started. If so, then wave g of the complex corrective will unfold later on as an upmove.

So we expect the bull move to continue this week with volatility. July 24th and thereafter have to be watched carefully.

A look at the short term cycles..

As per this chart, we see that Nifty is close to a reversal zone..

When can we see trend reversal changes?

For that,

Let us examine the Astro picture.

Whew! What an array of indications!

Saturn turns direct on July 21, 02:05; 16 a.m. Crest formation is round the corner.( 4 to 7 trading days)

Uranus turns retrograde on July 22, 2014.(4 to 11 trading days)

On 22 July, Tuesday at 12.19 pm, Mercury will be in full opposition to Pluto. Market could rise towards this date and time.

July 22: Venus in extreme declination at 10.14 pm

July 23 : Moon in maximum declination

On July 23^rd, Moon will be in Magayeeram, in Taurus, with Sun in Cancer.                                     July 24: Declination extreme for Mercury

July 25, 02.30 am, Sun is conjunct Jupiter. Which means Jupiter is conjunct. Crest should form soon.

July 26: Moon in Minimum Latitude

July 26: Jupiter in extreme declination

July 27: New Moon at 04:12 a.m.

July 28 Venus opposes Pluto

July 28:  Moon Apogee at 09.05 a.m.

July 29: Mercury enters Cancer at 04.31 a.m. Sun and Mercury will then be in the same sign

Venus forms a waning trine with Saturn.. Trough formation within 11 days

This looks like the current uptrend could terminate by July 24 or 25, 2014.Then b would have been completed and the downward c should begin.

The next option is that the current upward wave movement be construed as wave g of the diametric.. In such a scenario, wave g has opened upwards and may continue for 3 or 4 days. But this count now looks improbable now.Closer to the New Moon, looks like an opportunity to create shorts, with stop losses.Last but not the least, allow price to move first in the direction of our expectation, before any trade steps are initiated.

Trade carefully!

Nifty Astro Technicals July 14 to 18, 2014

Last week we were cautious because astrologically moon had more than one event surrounding it and technically we felt that wave e was maturing…

As expected we saw a reversal, some spectacular, gut swooping volatility and a seeming continuation of the downtrend.

Since we are close to or in the midst of a top formation, (we do not yet know, whether it is short term or medium term), let us re-examine the long term pattern (monthly chart) we saw last time..that of Cup and Handle.

“Although it is a discretionary pattern, the cup-and-handle offers the opportunity to capture large rallies. The pattern forms when a stock sells off (the left side of cup), consolidates (the bottom of the cup), rallies back to the original sell-off level (the right side of the cup), and finally pulls back (the handle). Volume can be used as a confirming indicator when the pattern has been recognized. Trading the pattern involves placing an entry order above the market when the handle is formed, and placing a protective stop beneath the handle.”

So, we can technically have a top here with Diametric wave F ending shortly and wave G beginning downwards, shortly. Such a   G, lasting several months, could pull down Nifty to the top line of Cup and Handle formation and form the classic pull back. This could take several months, and could well get us into the middle of 2015.Let us not forget that the single most factor of diametric formation is one of time equality, not price equality. The current F wave should mature in early September, having completed 13 months then. Even if we assume a G wave failure that could well take us into 2015.However the G formation also will have several ups and downs giving us many profitable trading opportunities.

So, the biggest up moves in Nifty are yet to unfold….

On the weekly chart, Nifty`s high was higher this past week and the low was lower. So was the close. Now this is decidedly bearish. Long weeks of overbought positions now look to unwind. In other words profit booking should continue. We follow the principle of sell on rises till the last sell gets negated.

We use the opportunity to move out of all speculative mid-caps and hold on to just the defensives.

In the daily chart,

The lower b-d channel line is now decisively breached. If 7442 goes, then we expect 7360 to hold for an immediate bounce, which could open up the final g leg of the second corrective in F.

Thus if there is a low formation this week, then we expect a bounce back. No anticipation, but just expectation.

Now after the upward g is formed also, Nifty can go through one more diametric formation involving another x wave. Since the channel is breached twice, that could be only a remote possibility. Which means if g tops out, and Nifty breaks the lower channel yet again, odds of G wave downwards having started will increase.

Faster upward bounce this week shall confirm that wave f wave is completed.

First corrective will achieve time cycle completion with the second corrective, by July 15

So, next week Nifty movement should be quite interesting.

In the 30 minute chart, we see the micro time cycle from the fall from 7800 levels nearly complete. This also corresponds with a tentative abc formation of the ongoing f wave of the second corrective.

Astrologically,

Volatility continues…..

Mars moves into Libra on July 14^th.

Rahu also moves into Virgo, on the same date.

So does Ketu, from Aries to Pisces.

Venus moves from Taurus into Gemini.

Saturn becomes direct on July 20.

Uranus becomes retrograde on July 21.

This point to a fundamental shift in the investor and trader psychology. Apart from Jupiter moving into Cancer last month, the most important shift here is the movement of Rahu-Ketu axis from Libra-Aries to Virgo-Pisces.

Early morning today, Mars was conjunct Rahu, in Libra. And Venus was in trine to the Rahu-Ketu axis.

In short expect more volatility and also expect trend reversals in most markets.

Next critical time zone is between June 21 to 23, 2014.

Sun Mars square, Sun Jupiter conjunction and Jupiter Mars square will dominate in this period.

If any recovery happens this week, be watchful on the above dates. The trend could reverse downwards more forcefully then. If the downtrend persists this week, then expect a good up move in the period June 21 to 24.

As always, this observation is one of expectation and preparedness. We take action only when the Market Technicals tell us to do so. If we expect a down move and if the market breaks a key support, then we go in more confidently with shorts. If the market closes above a resistance, and we expect a positive move astrologically, we go long.      

Nifty Astro Technicals July 07 to 11, 2014

So, after a long gap of 11 months, this blog is getting activated. Markets of course are forever and they have continued to churn out profits and losses to the millions who follow them...  
Looking at the long term charts of Nifty, we see a powerfully bullish picture emerging...

Minimum target from the Cup and Handle formation is 10,471.Of course the path will be full of ups and downs and all downs become important for investors because they represent buying opportunities.

From a Neo Wave perspective also, the current situation is quite important ...

In the month of August 2013, wave E ended and wave F had began upwards in the form of complex correctives, well channeled. That they are so well channeled makes them complex correctives rather than impulse waves.First corrective was a diametric and it appears that the second corrective also may be one. This means the current upthrust of "e"  could end in a few days and a down move of "f" could start. This may be followed by another final upmove of "g".Then there could be a larger correction which could bring Nifty down, outside the channel and consolidate. End of "G" should mark the beginning of " Mother of all bull markets".
So ride the present upmove but be vigilant. The move is fast maturing and will produce volatility, associated with the f and g legs. Then corrections could happen..sometimes quickly.
Let us look at short term astro effects ...

We see most of the latest turning points happened when more than one Moon effects were present.The latest Moon declination and Full Moon was the start of this latest upmove.
Between June 11 to 13,there are four separate Moon effects. Saturn also in in it's extreme.

  Additionally Moon is in the midpoint of Uranus and Mars, on July 12.And on July 16, Sun triggers the Rahu Ketu axis.
So a minor correction should ensue, shaking out all weak hands.
All the best for the pre Budget and post budget markets to all my friends!

Disclaimer:Whatever given here is just my point of view. Acting on them is solely up to you.I cannot be responsible for profits or losses or lack thereof owing to actions based on these observations 

Mercury Sookshma

Nifty`s Saturn Sookshma ends on August 03, 08:37:07 Hrs and then on till August 29, 2013,05:31:51 hrs, it is Mercury Sookshma in Venus Antara, Venus Bhukti and of course Rahu Dasa.
What has been the past record?

In 2003, we see the downward trend changed exactly on the onset of Mercury Sookshma.

During Jupiter Bhukti,Venus Antara and Saturn Sookshma in 2005, market bottomed out and reversed upwards. 

In 2008 January to February 21, the market goes through two way movements during Saturn Sookshma and declines to form a bottom, after Mercury Sookshma.

During Mercury Bhukti, Saturn Sookshma, market forms a bottom and the rise gets pronounced during Mercury Sookshma.

Ketu Sookshma last year see a declining trend during Mercury  Sookshma.

So we reach August 2013.there is every likelihood of a market reverse to the upside. For the Nifty, my bet is, it may go upto 5940 or thereabouts.

USD INR July 30, 2013

Nifty Astro Technicals Midweek Analysis July 30 2013

Wave B which began from 5477 is forming a huge triangle ( fits well with the confused outlook in the markets today-seeing RBI`s action today, even the Governor seems to be confused!).We are in the D leg right now..which seems to have a target of 5691....

Nifty Astro Technicals July 29 to Aug 02, 2013

July 29 2013: Moon is in Ketu star. Asc is in Venus star. Ketu signifies 8 and 12.Venus signifies 12 and 3. Moon moves through the subs of Mars, Rahu and Jupiter. A down day with some recovery post 1.15 pm.

July 30, 2013: Both Moon and Asc are in Venus stars which signify 12, 3 and 10.Moon moves through the subs of Mars, Rahu and Jupiter. Same pattern as July 29. Fall and some recovery post lunch. 

July 31, 2013: Moon in Sun star, which represents 2, 11 and 6. Asc in Venus star which reduces the positivity caused by Moon. She moves through Rahu Jupiter and Saturn subs. So after a flat opening we may see a positive market this day.

August 01, 2013: Moon in Moon star. Moon signifies 9 and 12.Ascendant in Venus star, signifies 12 and 3. Moon is in Mercury sub. Mercury though close to 11^th cusp, still signifies only 10.Moon moves through the subs of Rahu, Jupiter and Saturn. Recovery in second half, yet should be a small negative day.

August 02, 2013: Moon in Mars star, predominantly signifying 2 and 10.Venus is in Venus star, signifying 12 and 3, but Venus is also the 11^th Cuspal sub lord. So a positive end to the week is on the cards.

We expect 3 days of negativity and recovery in the last two days this week.

Aspects wise, a bottom is indicated by August 07/08.

Happy and safe trading.

Technical View of Nifty July 25 2013

9 day RSI is about to penetrate 30 day RSI on the downside. This is bearish for the short term.

Broader markets are not participating at all in the current rise. This divergence is also negative.

Cycle lines and Gann Supports are shown here. Long term up trend is still intact.

Nifty Astro Technicals July 22 to 27 2013

Last week we were expecting c wave to complete. It had completed 7 days by June 19.

What we now see, is that the abc correction by not breaking the trendline drawn, had become an x wave and so we have another abc correction unfolding.We had completed a and we are currently in the corrective mode, b. We still have one large c up move way to So we continue to hold Nifty buy positions till we see a decisive break down below the 0- b trendline.

Let us look at the cycles...

We see a possibility of a reaction, a buy on dips kind of reaction which could move the market further higher.In other words the c wave could be a strong one coming before the final fizzle takes place.

And astrologically,

We have several significant planetary aspects this week:
1. Mercury turns direct.Uranus has turned retrograde on July 17th.Both planets came close to forming a square and are now moving away from each other.
2.Mars conjuncts Jupiter.Rahu is trine Mercury and the Grand trine involving Jupiter, Saturn, Neptune and Mars is still in vogue.
3. Rahu moves to Rahu star. We already have Mars, Mercury, Jupiter and Saturn in Rahu stars.
4. Rahu is also the cuspal star lord for 3, 7 and 11th cusps.
5.July 22nd is a Full Moon, Moon Perigee and a Minimum Declination day.
6. July 23rd is a Maximum Latitude Day.  
7. By 25th July, Venus will oppose Neptune and Mars will oppose Pluto.
8.By July 26th, Sun will square Saturn

.
Additionally we are in the middle time period of Venus Antara Saturn Sookshma.
So what do we understand from all this?

We see that all Saturn Sookshma periods had a small crest forming. That is the first understanding. Since the Grand trine is still in vogue the reaction of two or three days will reverse once again into a bigger up move.This could last into the week and by 26/ 29, we could have a bigger down turn coming.
Will it mean that the prices will fall into sub 5400 yet?
My take is not yet.
Reason is because of the following observations.

 
Nifty had never reacted significantly ( a sustained downtrend) when fast moving planets were moving in the houses of Cancer, Leo and Virgo.These three houses offer a sort of continuation of the existing trend. So the next real down trend could commence only when Venus conjuncts Saturn and Rahu in Libra followed by Sun conjunction with Saturn and Rahu.These are slated to happen post September 17, 2013.
So, even with dips, Nifty may continue to rise till September 17th ...

Putting it all together, Nifty may first go up and then react. On July 29, a bigger reaction could set in. Even that could be shrugged off and Nifty may move forward to its tryst of Saturn and Rahu. That rise could be the result of the Grand Trine.After which the Jupiter-Pluto-Uranus squares will inject reality into markets.
With so much aspects and signatures, we will  closely follow the developments on  a day to day basis.

Happy and careful trading.

Astro Technicals for July 18 2013

Current uptrend faces a cycle line on July 22. That is also when we have a few lunar signatures..Mars would be exactly conjunct with Jupiter and both would be in trine to Saturn.