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Friday, October 3, 2014

Nifty Technicals October 07 to 10, 2014

We first look at a comparison between S&P 500 and Nifty on a monthly scale. This is just to identify how the cycles stand relative to each other...

As can be seen, the current monthly cycles of S&P 500 are earlier to that of Nifty. S&P had bottomed out earlier and may top out earlier as well. Iam not suggesting that S&P is going to top out now.It is perfectly possible that the US Index will warn us beforehand in case of a long term reversal.
Since long term planets are not sufficiently engaged with one another, Iam skeptical of projecting any long term reversal in both indices. Still this study tells us that possibly the S&P may top out first.
On another count, have a look at Dax Monthly here...

In the context of astrology, these synchronicities may only be explained if astro factors which affect all of them universally is considered. And those are Aspects. Aspects are the same whatever be the Ayanamsas considered.
Before we get into the counts, let us look at the momentum charts..

 

Looking at the wave counts,

Even though I had shown here three angular supports, I expect 7845 to hold or at the worst, 7785. It is highly unlikely that we may slip to 7700 and below. But then market is always supreme. 
It pays to keep an eye on the 144 days average....

Finally a look at the time price square indicates that 7875 and 7843 can be important levels.
To sum up, 
1. We seem to be in the final leg of wave 4
2. Weekly momentum is negative. We wait for the smaller time periods to fall in line with the weekly, before venturing to buy anything.Till the weekly bottoms out, all upward movements are safe shorts.
3.Price wise 7875 and 7843 are levels to watch.
4.Astrologically, upto October 13, we are in a very volatile period. Positional trades can be taken up after October 13th.
5. Iam yet to see evidence of a major top in the making. Larger time planets indicate this could be some months away. 
6. These are just my understandings.Let me state they are not recommendations. Errors and omissions are to be expected!
In the meantime, have a great holiday and enjoy the dynamics of October!

I would love to receive  feed back.Do let me know your mind.

Nifty Astro views- October 07 to 10, 2014




At last, September is over. It had been a significant month where we were on the edges of our seats as far as trading is concerned. There were so many views flying thick and fast, stating that we are hitting a top and severe market declines are round the corner. Entering October, the uncertainty has only increased. One thing is certain. The more we move away from September, without a significant market correction, the more is the certainty that we are in a new bull market. I continue to rely on aspects and signs primarily because we are in a connected world and what works universally works for our markets also.
Let us start a day by day astro look from September 23 onwards and see how things look:
By 23rd September Pluto turns direct. This is a significant signature suggesting reversals. Market reverses downward again. So the reversal which began on September 08, is helped by Rahu afflicting Mercury and now by Pluto becoming direct. So the negativity looks like continuing unless something positive happens.
By September 25, Venus moves into Virgo, her house of debilitation. So now, we have Mercury weak because it has moved out of exaltation, Sun, not as strong, because he has moved out of Leo and is moving to Libra, his sign of debilitation and Venus, weak, because of her debilitation in Virgo. Venus and Sun have to confront Rahu, while Mercury had already had his stomach full. All of them have to face opposition by Uranus as well.
So the negative trend will continue.
October 2014
We begin the month of October with several global issues, the latest being the Hong Kong protests. I have been pointing out the abrasive effects of Mars-Uranus and Jupiter all being in water signs from a KP perspective and in Fire signs from a Sayana perspective. All it means is that the energies of these planets flow easily and seamlessly and so the effects will be that much more pronounced. Uranus signifies revolution and Mars will only push the limits further. Jupiterian energy will only expand it further. Look at the inhuman actions shown by the ISIS Militants in the Middle East. No one is willing to give an inch. As pointed earlier some of the fast moving planets are all getting into weakening positions and that does not augur well at all.   The only hope is Saturn, who rules structures, who is still in his exaltation sign. So no far reaching structural changes would happen whether in the broader world or in the market world, yet.
October 02 Mars squares Chiron.. More of wounds and war.
October 03: Mars joins Uranus in a trine. Jupiter is about to leave the trine. Sun squares Pluto. This suggests more intensity. Markets which are falling will continue in the same vein.
October 04: Mercury begins its retrograde motion. Whatever trend which begins now, may have to be revisited by October 16, when Retrograde Mercury conjuncts Sun. Importantly, this Mercury activates the Saturn-Uranus midpoint at 08*of Capricorn. That Moon is present in the vicinity is no help at all.. In addition, Mercury is in its extreme declination at 16.47 hours, today.So more stress is in the offing in this retrograde.
October 05: Jupiter Uranus trine ends. Mars instead begins a trine with Uranus. So spectacular fireworks will continue. Effects will be seen on Monday.
October 06: With already a square with Pluto, Sun opposes Uranus. This could be extremely volatile to say the least. Stop losses will disappear in a jiffy and markets could move in both directions. Looking into other astro formations, I favour declines to happen. Such effects are not seen on the day of the formation but a little later. Mostly a third planet will channelize the energy and cause it to manifest.Moon is increasingly important this month because of its involvement in two eclipses, Lunar on October 08 and Solar on October 23. On this day, Moon is at its closest distance from the Earth. So collective psyche will be affected.
October 07: It is now the turn of Venus to square Pluto and force a standoff. Now this is the first signature which signifies a powerful trough nearby. It is time to be careful of shorts, but usually the trough forms at least after 5 trading days.From the chart below, we see how Uranus and Sun are getting into an opposition. On this day, October 07, Uranus gets into its declination extreme. This only makes the effect of Uranus more pronounced.



October 08: This is an interesting day.
The Sun Uranus opposition energy is channelized by Moon opposing Sun and Rahu being very close. Full Moon happens a little before the Lunar Eclipse, at 16.21 hours.
In other words we have a Lunar Eclipse which is opposed by Uranus..
And that Uranus is in trine with Mars.
And that Mars is in trine with Jupiter!
Do we need more proof of volatility?
This Lunar eclipse occurs just on the horizon or below the horizon. So the slanting rays of the Sun which gives a reddish hue to the Earth due to refraction because of dust in the atmosphere, gives a reddish reflection on to the Moon. So the Moon may appear red wherever it is visible. This is called a Blood Moon and it is supposed to have evil portends.In fact we are in a Lunar instability period from September 29 to October 20, 2014.   
October 09: Ketu joins Jupiter and Mars in a trine. Rahu comes to the midpoint of Jupiter and Mars. Market reversal is nearby if not on already. Cover all shorts and let us get ready for a reversal. But wait till Sun passes Rahu. They are just less than 3 degrees apart.
October 10: Venus does what the Sun did. She manages to hold Pluto in a square and also opposes Uranus. This is one more sign of a reversal.
October 13: Sun would have passed the Rahu Ketu axis. He is in trine with Moon who also is in opposition with Mars. Markets may turn up today, but may fall again when Venus comes in contact with Rahu. In other words, this formation favours a double bottom.Moon also is at its maximum declination.
October 14: A remarkable day when Ketu opposes Venus, Sun and Rahu. Trines with Mars and Jupiter. This again is a sign of a big reversal.
October 15: This is the day when Venus also conjuncts Rahu. Now there is only one more conjunction left. That is when Mercury comes back to conjunct Rahu.
So all the pent up reversal energies may possible erupt and may propel the market upwards.
In short our astrological expectations are for the market to decline, form a double bottom and then climb up again. All this could happen between October 07 to October 16.
Remember however that several aspects involve Uranus and Mars here.
So be prepared if the market takes a totally different series of movements!
Have stop losses and confirm the expected moves technically.
Here is a chart which shows Nifty dasa movements in October 2014...

Do trade carefully, because the skies do not look stable right now.

Monday, September 29, 2014

Astro Technicals Biocon September 29, 2014

Some of the readers of this blog have been asking for analysis of specific stocks, apart from the Nifty.Accordingly Iam posting the charts of one stock today. Some others shall follow.We will begin with an investment perspective first.Trading ideas can be discussed later.
The stock taken up for review is Biocon.As usual I shall post some charts with brief descriptions.
  One of the first thing which strikes us from a long term perspective is that, the long term price cycle is coming to an end.Biocon is in the third impulse wave, within which it is forming the fourth wave. In the months ahead, it may travel  down to the 420/430 levels again before a final 5th wave inside 3 is enacted.Since wave 2 ( shown in blue numbers) was a simple affair, wave 4 could be a complex  and time consuming affair.

A closer look at the daily chart also reveals the same picture...Biocon is currently in wave b of 4 which could top out in the 515/520 range. Then it could be expected to swiftly come down to the 420/430 range.Note how the stock exhibits a mirroring tendency with the blur vertical line drawn from top of wave 3 as axis..
Here is another daily chart, from a long term view...


So as an investor, I would watch Biocon for some upticks, to offload and pick up the stock once it declines to the 420/430 range.

Sunday, September 28, 2014

Nifty Astro Technicals September 29 to October 01, 2014

Last week, we had mentioned that stock prices are going to become volatile. We did see evidence of this. This truncated week is no better.And next week is going to be even worse.
As can be seen from the above charts, September 29 th is relatively calm, with some positive effect. But on September 30, Moon is close to Mars, and connected to Uranus,Jupiter and Chiron.Also Moon is in Mercury star, placed in enemy star Mars and in the 12th house.Third cusp sub lord is Moon which is connected to Mercury.This favours market decline.
On October 01st, Moon moves to Ketu star, which is connected to Mercury.Third cusp is ruled by Moon which is connected to Mercury through Ketu.Another day favoring shorts.
By October 06th , Mars trines Jupiter, increasing volatility and both ways movement,Venus squares Pluto, causing ripples in the market.This also favours trough formation.Additionally Sun also opposes Uranus.By October 05, Rahu is sitting directly on the 12th cusp
Instability caused by Rahu crowding continues.
All in all, we should favour shorting during this period.

Let us look at the levels, in different time frames....
Monthly indicates a move  up to 8400 and then a decline to 6500..Uptrend channels are also shown.

Weekly indicates a down move to 7750 range and an upmove later.


 Daily also indicates a
move down to 7860, or upto 7785 ( more likely) followed by a rise first to 8270?

5 Min chart favours an upmove to 8020/ 8040 levels before the downtrend resumes..


We conclude as follows. Technically and astrologically, we should expect the current counter up move to continue upto 8040 levels. Once there is a turn around, then we look to short the Nifty and go down along with Nifty till the 7785 levels.And then look for a more sustained rise. That could form the subject matter for next weekly discussion.

Friday, September 26, 2014

Nifty Astro September 26 2014

Situation by October 07th

Follow the momentum and cycles, but be aware of the astro formations!

Nifty Astro Technicals September 25 Follow up

Here is a follow up chart to the 5 min chart I had posted intra day.Price and time cycle bottoms are seen close to the current levels of 7912 and 7870. Since there are calculation imperfections and charting imperfections, let us take the price band of 7870 -7912 as important for a temporary bottoming out zone.Remember this is a 5 min chart. Larger time zones will give us far clearer cycle pictures. We will see them over the weekend.We should wait to see if prices recover from here. I have taken the closing prices to avoid intra day spikes.
However,there are three important risk factors emerging.
1. Astro picture is getting murkier.Negative factors are increasing.
2.FII Participation has been considerably reduced.
3. US markets are showing internal weaknesses.Daily lows have crossed the daily highs for a significant number of days.
In this back ground, today`s trading will assume significance, because this is the first day of a new settlement.If 7870 is broken, then larger time cycles are taking hold.Please see the momentum charts I had posted some days before.

Thursday, September 25, 2014

Nifty Astro Technicals September 25, 2014

Nifty is moving towards a 1920 bottom....Possibly a reverse irregular flat in the offing.Current leg is b of e. So c of e should move towards exceeding the 8180 levels,  possibly go to just short of 8200.

Wednesday, September 24, 2014

Nifty Astro Technicals September 23 2015

Two important phenomena had escaped my attention. One was Pluto turning direct.You can see in the above charts.Such a Pluto being in 15 to 16 degrees which connects with several houses ( rounded). Pluto is known for transformation and has a strong negative influence.Second was today was the day of Autumn Rquinox, a day which Gann always believed was a trend changer.
So what happens to our expectations of 8250?
It is still valid, but the time equation gets post pond a bit....
  While we had expected a down move to 8040, the extent of this down move was not anticipated.The support now is in the lower parallel line.
So the timeline of 8250 just gets shifted.


Uranus Jupiter trine is still  kicking in...Astro aspects will start becoming negative as days go by...

Monday, September 22, 2014

Nifty Astro Technicals September 22, 2014

Next time and price is slated around 8250 and the time zone is September 25, 2014 around 3.20 to 3.25 pm...

Sunday, September 21, 2014

Nifty Astro Technicals September 22 to 29, 2014- Astro view

Astrologically, Monday, Moon is in Ketu star Mercury sub. 3RD house cusp also in Ketu star, mercury sub.
Ketu is in Mercury star and signifies 12.Mercury is in Mars star and so weak. Mars is involved in a triangular aspect with Neptune and Moon. Both Neptune and Moon are known for vagueness and vacillation. This reduces the power of Mars also.
So Nifty may drift down, till noon. After that she may consolidate and go up, but not very significantly.
On September 23,2014, third cusp is ruled by Venus. Moon is in Venus-Saturn.Venus and Saturn have a sextile relationship. Saturn is in Libra, ruled by Venus. Venus signifies 11 and Saturn 10. This may be a positive day.Profit taking may emerge after 3 pm.
On September 24,3rd cusp is ruled by Venus in 11th. Moon is in Sun which is also signifying 11th.Positive moves may continue. This is a New Moon day, which is exact at 11:43:39 am, during market hours. At the time of New Moon, both Sun and Moon are in Ketu sub, which signifies 11th. 3rd Cuspal sub lord is Venus then signifying 10th.
On September 25, 2014, 3rd cusp is ruled by Venus signifying 11th. But Venus has just moved into Virgo and so is not powerful. Also Virgo is her fall house. So 11th signification is not very strong. Moon is in Moon star and very close to 12th cusp. So Moon signifies 12. Her Cuspal sub lord Mercury also signifies 12.Also Moon is in square aspect with Pluto. So this could be a turn day, where positivity bleeds off. Also today, Venus, Sun, Moon and Rahu are all crowded into Virgo and have   Ketu and Uranus, linked from the 7th.This makes their energies work in cross purposes. Jupiter Uranus waxing trine is exact today. So hereafter the positivity shall start waning away. Watch the trading days, 5 to 7 now.
On September 26, 2014, 3rd cusp is in Venus star, Moon sub. Moon is not very strong, having just entered Libra.Moon is in Mars star. So are Mercury and Rahu. Both have strong 12th connections. So Moon may indicate 12 today.
So, for me, this week should be positive overall.

However, in the first week of October, Mars is going to join Uranus first and then Jupiter in a trine formation. Sun will square Pluto as well. Mars will also engage Chiron in a square. So this is the time zone where the current uptrend could make a spectacular up-move and then reverse to begin a meaningful correction and show some cooling off. 
As can be seen in the chart above, there is crowding of planets around the Rahu Ketu axis. Whenever planets pass the axis they get destabilised by Rahu. When several planets get destabilised then the effect could be bigger. This may manifest from September 29 onwards, into October second week.