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Monday, July 1, 2013

Astro Technicals- Saturn 2012 to 14- A comparison with the past.

Saturn takes nearly 30 years to complete a full cycle of the zodiac. Last time it was in these parts of the sky, that is in Libra was in July 1982 to January 1985.During its tenure in Libra, Saturn goes retro twice. Let us see how Sensex behaved then, purely from a Saturn influence point of view:
We can see the entire period was one of steady uptrend interspersed with prolonged down trends inside the up channel.Since in 2013, we are in the period of Saturn about to become direct in its first retro effect for the current passage, we want a closer look at the similar situation then. To elaborate what had happened when Saturn became direct after its first retro passage?

On July 01, 1983, Saturn turned direct and a significant low was formed in 5 trading days.But even after rise the overall decline continued.Low or high can be considered as a reversal only and not literally.
Let us fast forward to 2013...

What do we see?
First the uptrend seems to be seen again, in clear channels. Amplitude seems to be more exaggerated maybe because Rahu is there with Saturn to increase the power of Saturn.
What could happen when Saturn turns direct on July 08, 2013?

Markets are rising towards the stationary direct situation. Given an orb of 5 trading days, we could possibly see a crest forming.. that is on or before July 17, 2013.Interesting thing is overall trend seems to be up..Now will Jupiter in Gemini cause a hiccup to the long term up trend? We will have to wait and see!

Jupiter Stations- June to August 2013


This chart gives a clear road map.
1. Jupiter Sookshma ends on July 05, 2013.
2.Venus Antara Saturn Sookshma is upto August 03/05.
3.Saturn turns direct on July 08.
4.So market could move up to July 10/12 and then correct.
5. This correction could be up to 5650-5700 levels, from which we may see another climb.
6.This could be because of Jupiter Neptune Saturn trine and could end up in a crest by July 21 or thereabouts, when Rahu moves to Rahu.

Astro Technicals July 01 to 05, 2013

We saw the markets reversing direction on June 24 in quite a dramatic fashion..
Let us update our charts first.We start with the Mercury retrograde chart...
So astrologically for the week beginning on July 01 to 05, we expect consolidation with an upward bias.
How does the wave count look like?

We go back to the irregular flat count. With B wave taking as much as 52 days and still having one more up leg left, this combo looks more viable. As the chart shows, we are in the last up leg of wave B. That is C upwards has begun.This could be a three wave formation.Alternatively we can still say that b of B is still not over and there could be one more down leg left. ( Astro Indicators seem to favour this view.)

We see a bar reversal and a possible cycle reversal last week.
So technically we are in a medium term bounce up. Astrologically we may see the present trend continuing up till July 10/12 and then reversing down first.
For trading we need to observe that since we are in  Mercury retro period, that too of a Mercury in his own house, we need to be cautious that prices will not take support or resistance at expected places. So we have to book our profits sooner or else reverse movements will eat away the profits.
Happy trading !

Thursday, June 27, 2013

Effects of Vimshottari dasa periods in Nifty

From June 11 to July 05 2013, Nifty is going through Rahu Dasa-Venus Bhukti- Venus Antara- Jupiter Sookshma.
I had examined some of the previous periods of Venus Antara- Jupiter Sookshma.
It looks quite interesting.....


In strong trending markets. either the Jupiter peak is formed towards the fag end of the Sookshma period or it takes place in Saturn Sookshma, which follows next.
Invariably Saturn Sookshma always gives a big decline.
When the trend is about to end, then in the middle of Jupiter Sookshma itself we see important trend reversals.A case in point, All time High of Nifty on  08 January 2008.
During flattish and downward trends, we see one or more counter trends, but is always followed by a significant decline when Saturn Sookshma begins.

Let us look at the current situation...


What do we observe?
1. Already one counter up move is complete.
2. Currently the market is in the second upmove.
3. This can last up to July 05, when Saturn Sookshma starts.
4. Post July 05, in Saturn Sookshma, we can expect a good down move.

Amazingly this fits very well with the Mercury  retro study posted earlier.
Let us commit our money, as per the ongoing trend and the keep our fingers crossed...

Tuesday, June 25, 2013

Mercury Retrograde and Direct Stations, while in Gemini

Mercury has an interesting effect on our markets, while it becomes retrograde and direct, in Gemini. Especially with Jupiter nearby.

Have a look across history...

Do we see a pattern? All the examples are when Mercury goes retro involving Gemini in some way..

Let us fast forward to 2013...

So we wait and watch...
And follow Nifty!

Monday, June 24, 2013

Astro Technicals June 24 to 28 2013

Well, what a week!
Two developments took the sails out of all kinds of markets-Ben Bernanke hinted that QEs will be reigned in. And China came up with disappointing eco numbers and all asset classes tanked this week.
Frankly I was expecting some more up moves before a market turn but the market gods had other ideas.
This brings about an alternative count of the waves in Nifty...


As per Neowave, if Wave B retraces 100-123.6% of wave A, then  there is every chance that wave B could be completely retraced..

July 04 or thereabouts looks like a likely date. We can see the current wave C impulsing down.That makes us be in wave 5. Technically wave 5 could also elongate. We will have to wait and see.

Astrologically,we first look at the lunar synchronization..

We see a possibility of a two day reversal upto June 26..We may see a bounce later today which could last till June 26 after which the main trend resumes.
Talking of the main trend, look how the divergence on weekly charts had played out...It is not yet complete.


Coming back to astro considerations,for Nifty Futures, Jupiter is the sub lord of six, nine and twelfth houses.Mercury and Venus additionally define Nifty movements. Let us examine Jupiter movements in detail. We first look at how Nifty behaved, when Jupiter was in the same section of sky in the past..that is in 2001-02.
 
Here is the micro movement chart...


What do we broadly observe? We see that when Jupiter is in Mars star, in Taurus and Gemini,the market tops out and the bottom is seen when Jupiter reaches Rahu star. In fact during this period, we see the bottom formation, when Jupiter is in Rahu star and Moon sub.And the next high happens when Jupiter is in Jupiter star itself in a retro fashion...
Let us fast forward to 2013...


We see history repeating.. When Nifty hit 6229.45, Jupiter was in Mars star, Jupiter sub.Jupiter will enter Rahu star only by July 01, 2013.In fact by July 08, Jupiter will be in Rahu star, Jupiter sub. We see in 2001, August, a similar combination brought about a recovery. This time we also have a Grand trine forming- Jupiter trine Neptune trine Saturn, by July 17, 2013. So by July 08 itself, we may expect Nifty to bottom out and start a new uptrend. In the Fibonacci retracement chart, we saw 100% retracement to happen post July 04, 2013. So this time zone has to be specially watched.
For better clarity
, here is the micro movement chart for Jupiter in 2013...
 We continue to expect that the present trend can turn around only when Jupiter enters Rahu star..post July 01, 2013.
In fact there are two important aspectarian events coming up..
Here is the first one...


Jupiter and Mars will trine Neptune and Saturn. Suddenly everything will appear rosy.. We will see a pick up of confidence across the world. Markets may rebound and solutions to problems will appear in sight..All this during the run up to July 17, 2013.
Here is the second signature...



Between August 06 and 11, Jupiter will square Pluto and then will square Uranus. Jupiter will also trine Rahu, which will be in a 150 position to Uranus. The euphoria of the past month will vanish and we will be back to the harsh realities of life.
Nevertheless all of these will provide wonderful trading opportunities which we need to carefully encash.
Before I conclude this post, let me draw your attention to two other important subjects..
1. Please re visit the tabulation in this post dated June 12, 2013:  http://niftyastrotechnicals.blogspot.in/2013/06/astro-technicals-june-week-02-2013.html
Iam posting the relevant sections again here..We see the prominence of the dates surrounding June 20 to 25..This suggests that longer term cycles are now culminating.

First Planet
Second Planet
Effect
Period
Remarks
Saturn
Neptune
Trine
May 12 to July 27
Central Time band of this aspect is 37-38 days from May 12, which is around June 20.This corresponds to a longer term cycle crest from which prices decline sharply for 1 or 2 years. So we need to look out for crest formation by June 20 or thereabouts for long term cycle declines. 
Uranus
Pluto
Waxing Square
April 18 to June 28 ( 72 days)
Central time band of this aspect is from May 20 to 24. Nifty hit a top on May 20, at 6229.45.This also leads to huge declines as seen in 1876.
Sun
Neptune
Waxing Square
May 25 to 28
Trough formation in nine trading days- by June 06/07.
Venus
Saturn
Waning trine
June 06 to 09
Trough formation in 5 to 12 trading days.        ( June 14 to 25)
Venus
Uranus
Waxing Square
June 12 to 14
Trough formation in 9 trading days, around June 25

In other words, we are undergoing structural changes. The low interest regime of the developed world is coming to a close.This is the main reason for the bond market crash. It has only just begun.Markets are going to readjust to this reality in the days and months to come.
2. The second aspect from a short term point of view, is that of Mercury becoming retrograde.This often portends a short term reversal in the market. So let us be vigilant.

In a nutshell, we expect the market to continue the downtrend. There may be a short bounce within a day or two. It is expected to be short lived. We can continue to sell on rises.A more definite turn is expected post July 04, 2013. 
Uncertainty and volatility are at its peak..
Trade carefully and safely.

Wednesday, June 19, 2013

USD INR June 19 2013




In the medium term, rupee  is beginning a new Impulse wave which can take it beyond 65.In the short term it may retrace to 57 levels.
Medium term depreciation of the rupee could correspond to the downward Diametric E wave in Nifty.

Astro Technicals for June 19, 2013

Once again we see diversity ruling roost- The American markets are getting higher, the European markets are mixed and Asian markets seem to be confused.
US Markets continue to respond to the underlying improvements in the US Economy- Real Estate markets seem to be gaining traction, which can directly contribute to improving employment in the US.
Mr. Draghi has once again reiterated that he is willing to back up further in the European sector- they simply are desperate for some indications of  growth.
USD INR movements continue to dictate terms  in our markets...
Yet there is some reason to believe that one last leg up remains..5908 to 5960 seems to be an important over head resistance, meeting of  which can witness a b of C leg unfolding.Even if some selling emerges, it will only push Nifty along the natural angle.An uptrend up to June 24 seems to be on the cards.Volatility is quite high and sudden turns seem to happen abruptly

Over to you Ben!


Tuesday, June 18, 2013

Astro Technicals for S&P,the leader of the pack!

All eyes are on Ben Bernanke. His utterances after FOMC shall decide the immediate directions of the Financial Markets.
Let us look at the technical picture...

It has fallen behind the 45* line, but is holding up. Overhead resistance is at 1680 and support is way below, at 1540.
It is at an inflexion point.
Let us see if astro gives us some clues...

Yellow chart outside is Natal and inner white chart is of the transits.We see that the transiting Jupiter has just formed a trine with natal Jupiter.Jupiter is lord of the 6th and 9th and is currently in the 11th. All positive houses.  Moreover, transiting Jupiter is forming a conjunction with the Sun and both are about to trine natal Neptune, which is at 6*49'.This is again positive.

So possibly Ben may assure the markets tomorrow and we could see another flare up.

It should be interesting to wait and watch..
Please play only according to the market moves and not in an anticipatory fashion.


Astro Technicals June 17 2013

We all know that the market moves in cycles. There are long term cycles and short term cycles.If astro aspects also influence the markets then the cycles and the aspects must have something in common. Just an attempt to understand how the cycles behaved,in the past,   along with astro aspects, by itself is a fascinating area of research.
In my own humble way, here is a small exploration as to how cycles could behave in the near future..


The uptrend from 5477 had three parts to it.12 days, 10 and 8 days. The last small cycle see a crest formation at 6229.45.So the cmall cycle is counted in the down turn as well. We then see a larger cycle of 14 days which had brought the price down to 5683.10.Currently we are seeing the next cycle unfold..
Now comes the tricky part..How will it unfold?
We turn to Financial Astrology for some guidance..
1. We know from our observations seen in                              http://niftyastrotechnicals.blogspot.in/2013/06/astro-technicals-june-17-to-21-2013.html 
that the immediate declinations and aspects will lead to a turn post June 24.So the current rise could take a pause at that time.Could that be a wave of C?
2. June 24, is when we have transiting Venus conjunct natal Rahu in Cancer. This has always lead to a reversal. So could we see a small crest being formed and prices drifting downwards.
3. June 26 to July 20 is Mercury retrograde period.  So by July 02, 2013, downward drift could cease and price could move up as c of C.
4. Central time band of Mercury retrograde is around July 08/09.Sun is trine Neptune and Saturn on June 26th and this signature has its time band also as July 08/09.So we could see an important crest formation by July 08/09.
5.  July 15 is Saturn trine Jupiter. July 18 is Neptune trine Jupiter.So we could expect a secondary bottom by around August 5, with the first bottom, soon after July 22, when the retrograde period of Mercury ends.
So these are the postulates. Even if Nifty does not follow this path, we are sure to learn a lot from Nifty`s movements in this time band.

Looking at the current price movement, 5888-5900 seems to be  the first level of resistance.



Here is a look at the Hourly...

We notice that apart from 5900, we should also look at 6050.