Nifty Astro Technicals for October 16 2012

After rising for 20 trading days from September 06, Nifty has corrected for 6 days so far. From October 05.It looks in all likelihood that Nifty may get into a 3-3-3-3-3 triangular corrective mode, with each leg becoming smaller than the rest. Triangles are generally lack lustre and difficult to trade from a positional trade perspective. Since Wave 3 had consumed 20 days Wave 4 should consume a minimum of 20+ trading days. We enter the 7^th day today.

Daily intraday momentum signifies a rise to the overbought zone, while the weekly momentum indicator is signifying a fall. Since the larger trend is always the stronger, risk reward ratio is in favour of selling on rises for the time being.

Since we assume (until confirmed or proven otherwise) that Nifty has entered wave 4 and wants to form a triangle, with 5 legs of 3 folds each. We may look to see whether Nifty crosses 5747 which is 61.8% of the retracement from 5815 to 5637.In fact 5747 to 5751 looks to be an ideal sell zone.  

Nifty Astro Technicals for Oct 15 to 19 2012

Let us begin our analysis of the week October 15 to 19, with Astro indicators.

To locate any place on earth we require two kinds of coordinates- Longitude and Latitude. Similarly to better understand the probabilities of occurrence or non-occurrence of any event, we need both longitudinal as well as latitudinal Astro calculations.

Our traditional Astro analysis is mostly used based on the longitudinal position of various planets across the Astro charts.  This is why, for a fuller understanding I have been posting the declination charts. They give a latitude based understanding and bring us a little closer to interpret what the stars really are saying. Latitude positions do give a reversal time period, which may then be fine-tuned with other Astro methods.

For example, in the recent past I had posted the following declinations chart. October 04/ 05 and 11/12 were suggested as reversal dates and we all know what happened in the markets.

Let us look at an example of combining longitudinal and latitudinal studies- As per longitudinal studies; Jupiter became retrograde on October 04 as per regular chart studies (longitudinal.) As per Latitudinal studies, Jupiter reached an extreme declination level on 2^nd October. So a reversal was indicated, which manifested on October 05^th. More research should reveal how to exactly pin point the time of reversal, during trading hours.

Let us look at the declinations chart for this week-October 15 to 19, 2012.We also have the declination values in a tabulation here, for better understanding.

·         We see that there is a Moon-Sun declination conjunction (decl- conj) on October 15. This also happens to be a New Moon, which means Moon and Sun are in the same longitude, in Virgo, on this date. This makes this New Moon very powerful and maybe eventful.

·         Decl-Conj are just like regular longitudinal conjunctions. They produce results based on the nature of the planets involved in the conjunction. We also notice we have a Moon-Saturn decl-conj on Oct 15 and a Moon Neptune decl conjunction on October 16. Since October 11 reversal was positive for the markets (by positive I mean increase in value), we may expect these conjunctions to increase positivity.

·         Both Mercury and Pluto are unfavorable for Nifty. So the declination conjunction on Oct 19 could spell trouble. Sun-Saturn decl-conj may neutralize things a bit, but since Moon reaches its lowest point of Southern Declination we may expect a reversal from October 19^th onwards. 

Please have a look at the table above .Planets in the Northern Latitude are denoted by N along-with their coordinates and planets in the Southern Latitudes are denoted by S with their coordinates. When a planet in the Northern latitude and a planet in the Southern Latitude have the same coordinates, then they behave as if they are in opposition to one another. On October 12/ 13, Sun and Venus were more or less in opposition and despite Venus being in its own star, we did see a decline on Friday, October 12, even though the positive trend remained intact. In the same time, Mars and Jupiter were also getting into opposition, from somewhat extreme positions. Positions described earlier have been highlighted.

Please see the position of Jupiter and Moon on October 19. They are also in an opposition mode. This again suggests a reversal.

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Now we have a look at the traditional KP Astro longitudinal charts.

The New Moon participants, Sun and Moon in Virgo are in a trine with Natal Sun and Venus. Natal Mercury and transiting Mercury are also moving into a trine. Transiting Sun and Moon are also in a trine with Uranus. Transiting Ketu is conjunct with Natal Jupiter and Saturn.

This formation suggests an improvement in the market for the near term  

Let us see how the weekend chart looks like. The picture seems to change a little reddish.

Transiting Sun gets into square with Natal Rahu. Transiting Venus is getting all square with Natal Sun and Venus. Moon which is the trigger point is getting into an opposition with Natal Sun and Venus. Transiting Moon of course has to be square to transiting Venus, for that. This suggests a topping out possibly by the weekend or early next week.

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Since October 15, happens to be a New Moon, let us look at the New Moon chart itself. Ruling planets are Saturn, Mars and Moon with secondary support from Rahu.

See this chart for October 18, 2012:

On October 18, 15.15 pm, Moon reaches 11.48.10 degrees in Scorpio. This quarter of the sky is conjointly ruled by Mars-Saturn and Moon. So this could be a significant turning date. This happens to be the 9^th house, which is 12^th of tenth. Sun would also have entered its debilitation house, Libra,  by then.

Now for the last chart of this blog post:

November 06, 12:59 pm:

On November 06, 12.59 pm, Moon will be in Cancer at 12:08:07.This point will be governed by Moon –Saturn-Mars-Mars. That will also be the worst debilitation point for Sun in Libra and Venus in Virgo. That could mark a low point for Nifty.

Will all this come to pass? Only the Creator knows!

But nothing wrong in examining isn`t it? Maybe over time we will develop enough techniques to help us predict the markets better.

Till then trade safely with no anticipation, and with stop losses. Let us examine the waves of Nifty in another post.

Have a wonderful week. 

Nifty Astro Technicals for Oct 12, 2012

As we expected, Nifty bounced out of the intraday contracting triangle and has begun its upward movement as b.Minor leg b has retraced more than 80% and since the next larger degree wave from 3, did not even correct 38.2% we consider that minor wave b may exhibit strength.If minor wave b crosses 5728 ( 100% line shown) then we consider wave b is going to be stronger.We should know that on October 12, 2012.
From 09.15 TO 13.44 Moon will be in Ketu star, which should favor continued bullishness.Between 10.26 am to 13.44 hrs, Moon will be in Ketu star, but Mercury sub. Now that could possibly cause some coolness.13.44 hrs, Moon will be in Leo in Venus star.Since Venus is also in its own star, we may expect the uptrend to be intact.

If we look at the updated Daily chart, we see that Nifty is to enter a positive zone from Monday. Since Monday happens to be a New Moon day and since prices are rising towards the New Moon, we may expect corrections to set in on Monday. This will likely be a two day affair.
Earlier today, Nifty had breached 5640 intraday, to go down to 5636.80.Technically with the fast fall formation seen on 08th Oct , we are more or less in wave 4.

Nifty Astro Technicals for Oct 11, 2012

Nifty continued to drift down and close at 5652.15.It touched an intraday low of 5647.05.Open Interest decreased with Increasing volumes, and since the price decreased, it meant that weak longs have closed out their positions and new shorts did not get created. Also shorts in profit may have exited.
The above 15 min intraday chart of Nifty, shows the minor waves in a triangular formation. the final
"e " leg down is close to ending.Today was the fourth day of down move and looking at the technical internals, a bounce looks likely tomorrow.

Till 14.01 Moon is in Mercury star and the down drift is expected to continue. Post 14.01, Moon enters Leo and Ketu is the star lord.Markets may bounce back after 2 pm tomorrow.
Here is the medium term chart:

5640 is the first crucial level. Will it break tomorrow. Maybe, maybe  not.It does not matter. If the market turns up then hold on for a rise because we enter the green period next week. Possibly we will be in wave b of 4 next week.

Nifty Astro Technicals October 10, 2012

 Nifty is interestingly poised.Wave 1 of C of Diametric D was on for 26 days and rose by 578.20 points. Wave 2 took 40 days. Wave C took just 20 days to rise 598 points.Wave 4 should take at least 20 days and end by November 2 to 5.Different wave sections are shown in boxes.    In our previous post we had mentioned that the terminal impulse in minor wave 5 of 3 should end by 5640, and that could be the first leg of wave 4 of one larger degree. So we wait to see whether 5640 is breached. That will mean wave 4 is truly on.
So what next? Let  us use Financial Astrology. Based on planetary aspects and lunar behavior  we have shown three bands. Yellow is neutral with a negative bias, green is positive and of course red is negative.Planetary positions and impacts have been covered in detail last Sunday.
First level to watch is 5640 and then 5585 to 5587.Any upside seen on Wednesday morning or Thursday may be sold into.Expect a b wave recovery from next Monday onwards till Oct 19.From Oct 22, the fall should continue as c wave of wave 4. We will then know whether it is to form a triangle with 2 more legs d and e . This bouncing on and off ought to continue till November 3/6 or earlier till Oct 30.
We continue holding shorts with a stop loss of 5751.
Of course all depends on Miss Nifty and what she decides to do. We all know her as a rather whimsical lady!
Needless to say, markets are turning treacherous and so stop losses are a must. No anticipation gives you profits with peace of mind.

Nifty Astro Technicals Momentum play

Stochastic movements in different time frames could give us clues to the immediate market moves.
See chart above. There is a negative divergence and the daily 9 period slow stochastics is getting ready to move down.
Look at the chart below:

The 5 min stochastic is pretty over bought. Now when it starts reacting downwards from the high that is when a short trade could be thought of.Confirmation will come when the previous bar low is taken out.

Nifty Astro Technicals- Gann Price and Time Squaring Oct 06, 2012

Nifty had broken down from an important 1X1 Gann Angle on October 05 and had also had a maturing time and price squaring happen on the same day. The Gann time lines were repeating on the 14th calendar day,since the previous significant low.

Nifty Astro Technicals -A re-look at the New Moon charts of September 16, 2012

Dear all,

Have a look at the New Moon chart of September 16.This blog post was created on September 20, 2012. It makes interesting reading now that we are closer to the next New Moon, which is on October 15, 2012.


http://niftyastrotechnicals.blogspot.in/2012/09/september-16-2012-new-moon-chart-of.html

Nifty Astro Technicals October 08 to 12, 2012

The freak trade on Friday has wreaked havoc on the internals of the market structure and cooled the bull fervor to some extent. Since everything which happens in the market is part of market reality we accept the situation and move on to our analysis.

Last week we had seen Wave 3 gathering strength and wanting to push ahead. We had expected the third wave push to continue till October 10^th.However now, after Friday`s price action it looks like Wave 3 has terminated and wave 4 has opened downwards. In fact even minor wave a of 4th looks completed. Currently minor wave b of 4 seems to be on. Further analysis is possible once we see how strong or weak this wave b is. Since wave 4 is now overlapping wave 2 territory in the Minor leg up, we need to be careful about the possibility of a terminal impulse manifesting.  If we consider wave 1 as elongated, then wave 5 should confine itself to 5800 or even less. The ensuing correction could pull down Nifty to 5640 levels, the beginning of minor wave 1, in wave 4 of one larger degree. In this case, once wave 5 is formed, then the correction to 5640 levels should happen in 50% of the time taken from wave 0 to 5.

 Let us see the larger picture. See daily chart below:

The thick blue lines indicate that wave C of diametric D, which began on June 04^th, is close to achieving equality   with Wave A of diametric D which began on Dec 20^th, 2011.This may happen if Nifty reaches 5872.Time wise, wave A had taken 45 trading days and wave C would have consumed 89/90 days by the time band Oct 10 to 12.

The green square high lights the movements of Irregular Flat with C wave failure of wave 2 of C. The Neo Wave projection of 161.8% of wave 3 of C, because of this Flat formation is 5890. So the price band 5872-5890 appears crucial. This is just 126 points away from Friday`s closing.

But the freak incident on Monday has confused the picture and we see the emergence of a terminal impulse in the minor formation. According to this Nifty may not move much above 5800.See the 15 min chart. Again this was caused by an abnormal market movement and the market is likely to reject this outcome. We will know this only on Monday, October 08, 2012.

If this is so, then we look for an up move towards 5872 area. If not, we should know at the 5774 area itself. In that case, we look to go short around 5774 region for a play up-to 5640 initially. This could tentatively go up to 5530 levels. This may possibly conclude wave 4 of C after which we still expect one more up move towards 5975 levels which could be wave 5 of corrective wave C of diametric D. Why 5975? Because 5975 represents 80% of the retracement from November 08^th  2010 top of   6335 to December 20, 2011 low of 4531..

What do the stars say?
As indicated on the declinations chart last week itself, Moon has been showing reversal signs from October 5 itself. Moon reaches its minimum Latitude on October 11^th and MOON`S declination crosses Celestial Equator on December 12^th.Both of these signatures are reversal signs.

The Sun-Pluto waning square of September 29, will begin to have its reversal effect between Oct 09 to 12.The Venus Neptune opposition of Oct 04,will manifest negatively before Oct 16.Jupiter had turned retrograde on Oct 04th.We expect a powerful reversal from a crest, on Oct 11th.Mars Neptune waning square of Oct 08,may affect markets negatively between Oct 12 to 17th.Sun forms a waxing trine with Jupiter on Oct 09th.Powerful reversal effect from crests is expected between Oct 12 to 19.Venus and Pluto form a waxing trine on Oct 09, 2012.

As we can see, most of the aspects which have formed in the immediate past or which are about to form in the near future seem to indicate reversal from crests. The common central time band seems to be Oct 10 to 12.

Daily planetary positions have been indicated in the tabulation below, with universal color coding symbolizing the effects expected.

Please see the planetary effects of corrections in the overall context of bullishness, as depicted by the wave patterns.Please note that all that has been discussed above are only conjectures. Price movements alone are supreme and will dictate the future progress of Nifty. It is not prudent to open positions, in anticipation. Neither is it safe to operate without stop losses. Let the price tell us what it intends to do. The studies merely help us to be prepared.Have a wonderful week of trading, without any freak incidents!

Nifty Astro Technicals Intra week update, October 05, 2012

Nifty`s third wave of the fifth has gathered strength yesterday. It looks to play out up to October 10^th. If fifth wave decides to extend, then we may see a sharp dip for a few days (up to October 12^th) and then continuation up to November 05. If correction is weak or does not happen on October 10^th-12^th, then we watch out for October 19^th to 23^rd.  The time bands have been marked on the following chart.

Intraday 15 min chart looks interesting. It suggests a possibility of a 5th wave extension...

We shall discuss Astro formations in detail during the weekend.Any dips today, are hopefully buying opportunities. Any way the trend is pretty mature. So caution indicated in all long positions.