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Monday, March 2, 2015

Nifty Astro Technicals March 02 to 06, 2015

Quite an eventful week came to an end. What with the budgets and the settlement all coming together, it was a roller coaster ride indeed!
But it looks as if the volatility has only just begun..There are several astro formations which indicate a period of disquiet has just begun.
First let us look at a larger picture of the wave counts...
   What looks like an interesting possibility right now is that the huge triangle formed as a correction from 2008 top and which ended on August 28, 2013, could itself by a large A leg. The complex correction which had begun since then and which is in its final leg right now, could be the first leg  of a larger B Wave.If so then the correction which began in 2008 Jan could end only in 2020!
Ok. That is too far out and so let us come back to the present scenario. Our wave counts say that the current upleg is either wave g or wave c of c and it could go on to form all time highs.
Faster reversal of the last upleg and break of the bdf line should serve as a notice that the trend has reversed.
A look at the cycles..
    We had expected a volatile yet positive week and that  is what happened.Current wave c has achieved time equality with wave a..we now look for price equality.
Meanwhile the smaller blue cycle has bottomed out. Now both cycles have a positive bias, till March 12/13.
We expect the current uptrend to continue.
Now, a look at the astro formations...
 Some 14 different aspects are jam packed into the period from February 12 to March 31.Three major aspects stand out. Uranus Jupiter trine of March 03,Saturn retrograde on March 16th and final square of Uranus Pluto combination on March 17th.All markets could see reversals. Equities look to blow up higher and face a severe reversal in the second half of the month. The only saving grace is that Pisces and its occupants, Ketu, Uranus, Venus and Mars are getting a trinal benefic aspect from Jupiter.So issues may be ultimately resolved, but there could be turmoil before the relief.
Net effect, Neowave and the cycles indicate a positive upmove but astro formation are advising caution in the second half of this March 2015 month.
Be careful with your positions. Roller coaster is not over yet.

44 comments:

  1. very good analysis...can you post any new stock or update of any stock..it will help greatly

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    1. I shall post select individual stocks whenever time permits.

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  2. thanks for the asum analysis,can we see nifty at 9300 plus prior collapse sir

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    1. Nitin, the first rule of trading is to ignore possible tops in an uptrend.We should be looking at the bottoms instead.This is because, higher bottoms is what decides an uptrend.If you are long in an uptrend, simply move up your trailing stop loss.This is the only way to make money.So let Nifty go where she wants to go.If you have moved up your stop loss automatically you will be stopped out with profits when Nifty breaks a prior bottom.If two bottoms are taken out then we go short.I find too many people agonising on the possible top level.It is actually irrelevant.Iam showing some levels merely as indications.

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  3. Sir,
    Thanks for your detailed and in depth analysis as always. However, although the main crux is clear, it would be a great help if a date / daywise astrological probability of positive or negative bias of nifty may kindly be indicated from 2nd to 5th March as many like me, may not clearly understand the trine and other formations and their effect dates, please.
    Regards,
    Deepak Sharma

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    1. Deepak, this blog is basically positional in nature.This is because Iam able to post only once a week due to time constraints.Maybe in future I may start a daily service of day to day projections.With three different analytical tools Iam giving a weekly projection..Neowaves,Cycles and Astro.Out of this Astro alone is a leading indicator.When you read through all, you will get an indicative direction of the market.And a likely time zone of reversal.Do not anticipate the reversal and take a position.For example if the reversal time zone is indiacated as 10th to 16th March, just tighten your trailing stop losses as we reach the time zone.When Nifty takes out the last upswing in faster time, take a short position confidently.Meanwhile because of your trailing stop losses you would have closed out your previous long position with profits.This is how I recommend trading.You will easily multiply your investments over the year.You will also not over trade.

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    2. So kind of you for your prompt and patient replies to your followers. Sir, may kindly clarify wheather the effect dates of the astro formation of 3rd and 4th March i.e. Jupiter trine Uranus and Venus Jupiter trine respectively which are Bullish Pattern, are the same i.e. on 3rd and 4th itself or else. Are the astro pattern of 5th also bullish? Kindly respond as I trade only in Options in small quantity.
      Regards,
      Deepak

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    3. Deepak,
      If you study the last chart carefully, you would see that the yellow band is marked AFTER the major aspect dates. Yellow band corresponds to the EFFECT DATES of the aspects formed from February 22, 2015. All larger aspects will have effect dates AWAY from the aspect formation. This is connected to the way our minds work. Suppose you want a small thing like a cup of coffee... you do not spend hours visualising it. You just go out and get coffee. Or make some yourself. In other words between the desire or stimulus and the action or response, there is not much of time gap.But if you want to buy a new car, you think about it, browse through the net for information, talk to a few friends about available choices, go for a few test drives, arrange your finances and then take the decision. In other words, there is a time lag between the stimulus and the response. Similarly short term aspects produce quick results in the collective mind..results are also transient in nature while long term aspects take time to manifest. Most often the manifestations remains valid for a longer period of time.Collective Mind is nothing but the sum total of all minds involved in a particular activity. Example: Collective Mind for markets is the sum total of all minds of all traders of all hues involved in the market.A consistent line of action is nothing but a directional manifestation and this is what produces a trend.So the trends produced by larger planets or slow moving celestial bodies is of longer duration and impact. Every single nuance of movement in the market can be traced back to these celestial stimuli, but for practical purposes we only look to the most important and impactful ones.
      With this back ground, let us look at your query: All trines generally are culmination of up moves as a rule. ( There are exceptions of course).Jupiter trine Uranus had been in effect and that is why the markets are moving up. Now the smaller negative aspects, when they are pitted against larger aspects, can only produce transient smaller reactions. If you notice, you will see that the upmove has been kind of hesitant with good intraday corrections. In other words, in larger aspects are positive and are prevailing, then the smaller aspects which are negative can cause only heightened volatility.Of course the opposite also holds true.Now, large and small are only relative terms. Compared to Uranus Pluto square, a Jupiter Uranus trine is smaller.When two opposing aspects come together in close proximity, there could be heavy volatility.Remember all these effects are sub consciously filtered through our minds as buys and sells and holds in the market place.
      If you are an options trader, then the maximum time you should hold an option is only 21 trading hours. So you should not look at long term planetary effects. You must concentrate on lunar movements, declinations and effects caused by faster moving planets, Hope Iam clear?

      Regards

      Suresh
      Regarding answering promptly, that is what I always wish.. but it sometimes is not possible. Today I had the time! So do not hold it against me, if I sometimes I do not answer promptly!

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    4. Sir, thanks for the pain taken for the patient and in length reply. Enjoy the 0.25 % Rate Cut by RBI, today. Now, at least no problem of the Negative aspects of the astro volatility at least till 9140 and for today. But in view of this cut we all would be anxious for the next possibility in terms of Nifty targets and your expectations till tomorrow.
      Regards,
      Deepak

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    5. Deepak, the smarter way to play the market is not to be concerned about upper targets in an uptrend and lower targets in a downtrend.Today the market is trading above yesterday's low or close.We simply move up our trailingvstop lossescand we remain long.If Nifty breaks two previous day closes or lows consecutively, we take a short position.If on Retracement it forms a lower low we increase the shorts.We will hold them with trailing stop losses.That is all.I have followed this for more than 20 years now.This is my silver jubilee year in Indian Stock markets! Our rest assumptions continue to hold true.That despite all this hoopla a top is getting closer.

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  4. Regarding trines and squares, if you make an attempt to learn, ( I give so many visual aids in the form of charts) you will have a valuable tool for the rest of your life.I plan to start Financial Astrology classes later this year.You may join and benefit.

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  5. hello sir,
    if in case the reversal comes in nifty in the second half of the year will be due to retrograde motion of Jupiter as well as Saturn ?
    if it happens where do you see it to end. in march or over time till Jupiter's next transit in leo.
    your inputs are helpful just came across it.

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    1. Saturn turns retrograde on March 14th and direct on August 02 2015. Jupiter becomes direct on April 08th 2015. Within a month both these planets are changing stations. This along with other larger planetary cycles indicated, especially Uranus Pluto square maybe the cause of a correction in Nifty in March 2015.Correction maybe the largest one in recent times. However in the latter part of the year,post June 2015 Nifty should again become bullish. I expect Nifty to close the year on a bullish note,Correction indicated above should last through April to June 2015.

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    2. hello sir,
      shouldn't the major part of the correction should end in march itself.
      as Jupiter goes direct on 8th of april might give some relief.
      just a thought.
      even I would like to be your student sir. keep us informed.
      thank you

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    3. Hi,
      Thinking that "if Jupiter is retrograde, it is bad. Jupiter direct is good. Saturn retro is bad..Direct is good...".This is oversimplification which can lead to wrong conclusions.For example from December 08, 2014 to this date, Jupiter had been retrograde. Nifty has moved from 8432 to 8996, after hitting 9000! March could be a turning point which means a cycle could terminate and another one begins. We should see all this in a larger light. The previous correction was for 11 years-from 1992 to 2003.Bull market was from 2003 to 2008. So the next cycle of correction starts from 2008 to 2019/20.The next mega bull market starts from 2019/20. This is also the time when Saturn conjuncts Pluto in Sagittarius.Within the correction, from 2008, we saw a large triangle ABCDE, ending in August 2013, at 5119. If this is taken as A leg, of the prolonged correction, then we are currently in the first leg A of B.This could possibly end in March 2015. And we may see B leg of B start down. This could be of huge ups and downs with volatility.2016/17 could see C of B, which would be a big up leg, looking like a bull market. I suspect that also would channelise. Then the final C leg of prolonged corrections could start something which could be devastating and ending the correction in 2019/20.We will follow all these nuances, hopefully in this blog space.

      Regards


      Suresh

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    4. Thanks for clearing my confusion sir.
      if this happens then turmoil should be very ugly. since august 2013 nifty has risen 80% and to correct even 30 to 50 % from the peak it means anywhere between 1500 to 2000 points and lots of sad stories.
      I hope your blog reaches the maximum.
      thank you

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    5. That is in the nature of markets isn't it? When the forest becomes overly lush and dense Nature engineers forest fires, to stimulate growth in the proper ecological manner.Actually it is better if a healthy correction happens faster so that the next trend could be on far healthier lines.The longer a bull market prolongs, the sharper it will fall.New Moon must follow Full Moon.All we can do is to align ourselves with the market dynamics.Profits will be a natural outcome.

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    6. That is in the nature of markets isn't it? When the forest becomes overly lush and dense Nature engineers forest fires, to stimulate growth in the proper ecological manner.Actually it is better if a healthy correction happens faster so that the next trend could be on far healthier lines.The longer a bull market prolongs, the sharper it will fall.New Moon must follow Full Moon.All we can do is to align ourselves with the market dynamics.Profits will be a natural outcome.

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    7. indeed sir very rightly said
      thank you

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  6. thanks for such a detailed update & whenever u start fin astro classes consider me as ur 1st student ready infomation.manoj@gmail.com -- Manoj Tewani

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  7. Thank you Manoj. Your gesture means a lot to me!

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  8. Solid Conclusions and prediction Sir. Salute to you...Sir you just do Financial predictions only or Life prediction also !!

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    1. even my is the same question to u suresh bhai "you just do Financial predictions only or Life prediction also"

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    2. Guys, predicting life is easier because you have so much past studies and treatises to fall back on.Financial Astrology is relatively more difficult.Especially for whole markets.My passion is Financial Astrology combined with Technicals.Since Life predictions will be a big distraction I do not deal in it.

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    3. suresh bhai super answer kya mast answer likha naa bhi bole lekin aise ki naa read karne wala bhi khush good job and whats the meaning of living a life which is pre decided or pre known
      life should be full of surprises every day maaza toh tab aata hai life mein ...............
      haan but suresh bhai life and nifty mein bahut farak hai please do keep us posted with ur astro views on nifty.........

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  9. you have mentioned in a reply that

    "Saturn turns retrograde on March 14th and direct on August 02 2015"

    as per my limited astro knowledge, metal stocks go up when Saturn is retrograde.what is your opinion for tata steel and other metal stocks?

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  10. Pankaj, to say that Saturn retrograde means that all metal stocks will go up, is rather oversimplifying a bit. All metals are not represented by Saturn.If you take Tata Steel itself, Saturn retrograde most often forms a turning point. Sometimes it is a drop from a top and sometimes the start of a prolonged rally. Sometimes based on the star position of Saturn when it becomes retrograde, results vary.For example, in 2013, Tata Steel was falling from Jan 2012 to August 2012, without any break. Saturn even though exalted in Libra, could do nothing because Rahu, the star lord of Saturn was having a bigger say.Rahu was in a 6/8 position with Jupiter and so was inimical to good moves by Saturn. In 2014 Saturn in Libra was in Jupiter s Star. Jupiter and Saturn were involved in a benefic trinal aspect.So there was a move to turn up.
    At present, Saturn is in its own star. Saturn receives beneficial aspects from Jupiter.So we may expect a reversal from the down trend shown by Tata Steel. Oftentimes the reaction of a stock to a planetary aspect is a phenomenon out of collective aspects, and not reaction to just one aspect like Saturn retrograde alone.

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  11. thanks a lot for detailed answer.

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  12. Sir What you say about today's Move.
    And Mars - Ketu Conjuction on 5th March. So it can make big downside or ?

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  13. Hiren , read the last lines of the post.Volatility is not over yet.Last week the reasons were settlement and budget.This time it is the heavens.Won't be surprised with one more attempt to another upmove.Also distribution has started.Today's close was lower than yesterday's.One more negative day will bring in weak bull liquidation.We are seeing the effects of last week's aspects+Venus Ketu conjunction.Venus Mars conjunction is also negative but effects are for later.Uranus Pluto and Saturn retrograde are yet to come.Volatility is just beginning.Stop losses are lifelines.

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  14. "Won't be surprised with one more attempt to another upmove." Will it be new high? Your reply will be highly appreciated.

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  15. Don't know Abbas! Does it matter? I had mentioned that in the context of powerful push and pull in different directions caused by the aspect combinations.That Nifty closed below yesterday's close after going above yesterday's high puts the short term trend as negative.Some of the aspects show positivity.Resolution could be in the form of volatile counter moves.Will it cross today's high? Beyond my abilities! As a trader I just want to profit from the volatility! Iam a trader first and an astrologer only next!

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  16. Happy Holi Suresh Bhai and all Blog visitors

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    Replies

    1. Every color is a vibration
      All colours also add up to white
      Let all the rhythms of your life come together
      And achieve the wholeness of white!
      Happy Holi to all my friends

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  17. Hello Sureshji, What will happen as Venus becoming more aggressive on 10th and 11th March

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  18. Hiren, I will cover this in this week's post.

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